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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · SR-03 · Strategic systems series

Rantai pasok, perdagangan, dan titik sempit

Konsentrasi perdagangan, titik sempit maritim dan darat, keterpaparan input–output, dan perambatan guncangan pasokan.

Konstruksi Indikator Keterkaitan
Page GRX-SER-SR-03Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports SR-03 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

1

Risiko ketergantungan eksternal

Indikator

133

5 index domains

Hazard families

31

Built systems · Society, conflict and economy · Systemic and compound events.

Metode

51

Markets, trade and supply chains · Networks, dependency and systemic risk.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
indeks ranah
133
indicators in scope
3
ranah bahaya
4
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Which chokepoints carry the most dependent trade?
  2. Where would a supply shock propagate furthest?
  3. How concentrated are critical inputs?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Supply chains, trade and chokepoints index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Risiko ketergantungan eksternal

    Domain index · IDX · ECO
    Weighted arithmetic mean of the four ECO sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10.
  2. Supply chains, trade and chokepoints index

    Series index · SERIES · SR-03
    Konsentrasi perdagangan, titik sempit maritim dan darat, keterpaparan input–output, dan perambatan guncangan pasokan.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · SR-03 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Supply chains, trade and chokepoints index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Risiko ketergantungan eksternalNXS-GRX · ECO – – – – –

Domains read: Economic structure and trade, Infrastructure, Energy, Food systems, Technology and frontier.

04Indikator

133 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
INF · 24FOO · 23ENE · 23ECO · 18TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Inflasi harga panganIND.MAC.prices.food_inflation MAC Prices and inflation vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT CP
Ekspor barang dan jasa, dolar AS berlakuIND.MAC.external.exports.usd MAC External balance and reserves context [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD
Volatilitas nilai tukar perdagangan (10 tahun)IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pendapatan sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap pendapatan pemerintah umumIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share FIS Revenue vulnerability % COUNTRY
Keterbukaan perdagangan (ekspor ditambah impor, porsi terhadap PDB)IND.ECO.trade.trade_openness.gdp ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS
Penerimaan pariwisata internasional, porsi terhadap eksporIND.ECO.trade.tourism_receipts.exports ECO Perdagangan vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI ST.INT.RCPT.XP.ZS
Remitansi perorangan yang diterima, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2
Bantuan pembangunan resmi neto yang diterima, porsi terhadap PNBIND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS
Konsentrasi produk ekspor (HHI ternormalisasi)IND.ECO.concentration.export_product_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pasar ekspor (HHI ternormalisasi)IND.ECO.concentration.export_market_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Ketergantungan pada ekspor komoditasIND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN
Barang manufaktur, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.ECO.concentration.manufactures_export_share ECO Export and import concentration kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.MANF.ZS.UN
Rente sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS
Indeks kompleksitas ekonomiIND.ECO.concentration.economic_complexity ECO Export and import concentration kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY
Impor pangan, porsi terhadap impor barangIND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN
Impor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap impor barangIND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Ketergantungan impor neto untuk mineral kritisIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi asal impor (HHI ternormalisasi)IND.ECO.concentration.import_partner_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Porsi nilai tambah asing dalam ekspor brutoIND.ECO.supply_chain.gvc_backward_participation ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor barang setengah jadiIND.ECO.supply_chain.intermediate_supplier_concentration ECO Supply-chain exposure vulnerability % COUNTRY
Perdagangan laut yang terpapar titik sempit maritimIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Arus masuk neto investasi asing langsung, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp ECO Investasi kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS
Total emisi gas rumah kaca tanpa LULUCFIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total CLI Emissions keterpaparan Mt/a COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
Intensitas karbon PDBIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp CLI Emissions keterpaparan kg/[USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Ekspor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Subsidi eksplisit bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Standar desain perlindungan banjirIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood kapasitas penanggulangan a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Frekuensi cekaman kekeringan pertanianIND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency HAZ Kekeringan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID INFORM ASI
Luas permukaan terbangunIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area HAZ Keterpaparan context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Area terbangun di zona bahaya tinggiIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed HAZ Keterpaparan keterpaparan km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Keterpaparan ozon puncak musimanIND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard [ppb] COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Lahan terdegradasi, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.ENV.land.land_degradation.share ENV Land and forests hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID SDG 15.3.1
Kepadatan jalanIND.ENV.land.road_density ENV Land and forests hazard km/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Stok ikan dalam batas berkelanjutan secara biologisIND.ENV.ocean.sustainable_fish_stocks.share ENV Ocean vulnerability % GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY SDG 14.4.1
Sampah padat perkotaan yang dikelola di fasilitas terkendaliIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share ENV Pollution and waste kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
PDB di sektor yang sangat bergantung pada alam, porsiIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share ENV Nature dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO
Nilai produksi tanaman yang bergantung pada penyerbukan hewan, porsiIND.ENV.nature_dependence.pollinator_dependent_crops.share ENV Nature dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1
Tingkat cekaman airIND.WAT.stress.water_stress WAT Tekanan air hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 6.4.2 WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWST.ZS
Efisiensi penggunaan airIND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency WAT Tekanan air kapasitas adaptif [USD]/m3 COUNTRY SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD
Aliran air limbah yang diolah secara amanIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
PDB dalam kegiatan yang bergantung pada GNSS, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Layanan kritis yang bergantung pada satelit tanpa cadangan, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Jaringan tegangan tinggi di zona bahaya geolistrik tinggi, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1
Waktu tempuh ke fasilitas kesehatan terdekatIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Stunting pada balitaIND.HLT.nutrition.stunting HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.STNT.ME.ZS SDG 2.2.1 WHO_GHO NUTSTUNTINGPREV FAO_FAOSTAT 21025
Wasting pada balitaIND.HLT.nutrition.wasting HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.STA.WAST.ZS SDG 2.2.2 WHO_GHO NUTRITION_WH_2 FAO_FAOSTAT 21026
Anemia pada perempuan usia reproduksiIND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.ANM.ALLW.ZS WHO_GHO NUTRITION_ANAEMIA_REPRODUCTIVEAGE_PREV SDG 2.2.3 FAO_FAOSTAT 21043
Prevalensi kekurangan giziIND.FOO.availability.undernourishment FOO Availability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 210041 SDG 2.1.1 WB_WDI SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS
Jumlah penduduk yang kekurangan giziIND.FOO.availability.people_undernourished FOO Availability vulnerability {persons} COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 210011
Rata-rata kecukupan pasokan energi panganIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacy FOO Availability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21010
Variabilitas pasokan pangan per kapitaIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variability FOO Availability vulnerability kcal/d/{person} COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21031
Rasio ketergantungan impor serealiaIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency FOO Availability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21035
Kerawanan pangan sedang atau berat (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severe FOO Access and affordability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 210091 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.MSFI.ZS
Kerawanan pangan berat (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severe FOO Access and affordability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 210401 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.SVFI.ZS
Biaya pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost FOO Access and affordability vulnerability [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI CoHD_PPP
Penduduk yang tidak mampu membeli pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable FOO Access and affordability vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI CoHD_headcount
Penduduk dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggiIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population FOO Acute food insecurity impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 IPC Phase 3+
Porsi penduduk yang dianalisis dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggiIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_share FOO Acute food insecurity impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 IPC Phase 3+
IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggi, porsi terhadap total pendudukIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population_share_total FOO Acute food insecurity impact % COUNTRY
Keberadaan penduduk dalam IPC Fase 5IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presence FOO Acute food insecurity impact {bool} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 IPC Phase 5
Indikator anomali harga pangan (IHK pangan)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly FOO Food prices hazard 1 COUNTRY SDG 2.c.1
Bulan dengan harga pangan tinggi tidak wajarIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_months FOO Food prices hazard % COUNTRY
Tagihan impor pangan, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports FOO Food prices vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21033
Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Tenaga kerja di sektor pertanian, porsi terhadap total tenaga kerjaIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Hasil serealiaIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability kg/har COUNTRY WB_WDI AG.YLD.CREL.KG
Variabilitas hasil panen serealia (15 tahun)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pengambilan air untuk pertanian, porsi terhadap totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawal FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS
Lahan pertanian, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.share FOO Agricultural production and dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID WB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS
Indeks Kesehatan Vegetasi di lahan pertanianIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_index FOO Agricultural production and dependence hazard {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
Penduduk perkotaan, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share DEM Urbanisation context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
Pertumbuhan penduduk perkotaanIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
Penduduk perkotaan yang tinggal di permukiman kumuhIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
Korban ranjau darat dan sisa bahan peledak perangIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties CON Civilian harm impact {persons} COUNTRY
Skor lingkungan usaha (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Penduduk dengan akses listrikIND.ENE.access.electricity_access ENE Akses vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.1 WB_WDI EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
Penduduk yang terutama mengandalkan bahan bakar dan teknologi memasak bersihIND.ENE.access.clean_cooking ENE Akses vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
Konsumsi listrik per kapitaIND.ENE.access.electricity_consumption.pc ENE Akses context kW.h/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC
Porsi energi terbarukan dalam total konsumsi energi finalIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec ENE Energy mix kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
Intensitas energi primer PDBIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity ENE Energy mix vulnerability MJ/[USD] COUNTRY SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
Konsentrasi bauran pembangkitan listrikIND.ENE.mix.generation_concentration ENE Energy mix vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Porsi fosil dalam pembangkitan listrikIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
Kapasitas pembangkit terbarukan terpasang per kapitaIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc ENE Energy mix kapasitas adaptif W/{person} COUNTRY SDG 7.b.1
Pembangkitan listrik yang bergantung pada air, porsiIND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1
Ketergantungan impor energi netoIND.ENE.security.net_energy_imports ENE Supply security and import dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.IMP.CONS.ZS
Tagihan impor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap ekspor barang dan jasaIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Konsentrasi pemasok impor minyak mentah dan produknyaIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor gas alamIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor batu baraIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Stok minyak dalam hari impor netoIND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocks ENE Supply security and import dependence kapasitas penanggulangan d COUNTRY
Pemadaman listrik yang dialami perusahaan dalam sebulan biasaIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
Nilai yang hilang akibat pemadaman listrik, porsi terhadap penjualan perusahaanIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss ENE Reliability impact % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.OUTG.ZS
Durasi rata-rata gangguan sistem (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Frekuensi rata-rata gangguan sistem (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Susut transmisi dan distribusi tenaga listrikIND.ENE.reliability.td_losses ENE Reliability vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS
Derajat hari pemanasan dan pendinginanIND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days ENE Reliability hazard K.d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Konsentrasi pemasok impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Porsi pemasok tunggal terbesar dalam impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability % COUNTRY
Penduduk perdesaan dalam jarak 2 km dari jalan segala musimIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
Kinerja logistikIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
Konektivitas pelayaran reguler relatif terhadap batas terbaikIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Penumpang udara yang diangkut per kapitaIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan {passengers}/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR
Penduduk perkotaan dengan akses mudah ke transportasi umumIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan % CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Jaringan jalan dan rel di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share INF Transportasi keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Individu yang menggunakan internetIND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
Penduduk yang tercakup jaringan seluler, menurut teknologiIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
Langganan pita lebar tetap per 100 pendudukIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*2 COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2
Redundansi rute konektivitas internasionalIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan 1 COUNTRY
Jam gangguan internet berskala nasionalIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
Ketahanan jaringan listrikIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Ketahanan jaringan pasokan airIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience INF Utilities kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Fasilitas kritis dengan daya cadangan 72 jamIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Aset pasokan air di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Aset pembangkit dan jaringan listrik di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Fasilitas vital di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Kesenjangan investasi infrastruktur, porsi terhadap PDBIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Unit infrastruktur kritis yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Fasilitas kesehatan yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
Fasilitas pendidikan yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-3
Gangguan layanan dasar yang disebabkan bencanaIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-5
Kerugian ekonomi langsung pada infrastruktur kritis, porsi terhadap PDBIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
Insiden siber yang mengganggu layanan kritisIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
Nilai tambah layanan TIK, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
Belanja domestik bruto untuk litbang, porsi terhadap PDBIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Peneliti per juta pendudukIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Ekspor teknologi tinggi, porsi terhadap ekspor manufakturIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Konsentrasi pemasok impor semikonduktorIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia infrastruktur cloudIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kapasitas komputasi AI di bawah kendali asing atau penyedia tunggalIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia model fondasiIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pengawasan biosafety dan biosekuriti laboratorium penahanan tinggiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Bioteknologi kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Penduduk dalam jangkauan 15 menit dari layanan daruratIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
Standar bahayaMasyarakatSistemik287HAZARDS
3 hazard domains (inner ring) and 31 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
Structural and civil failure Sistem terbangun Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage Sistem terbangun Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents Sistem terbangun Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents Sistem terbangun Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall Sistem terbangun Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall … 22
Water and wastewater system failure Sistem terbangun Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply … 9
Telecom and data-centre failure Sistem terbangun Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss Sistem terbangun Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage Sistem terbangun Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption Sistem terbangun Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident … 12
Food system infrastructure failure Sistem terbangun Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress Sistem terbangun Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure Sistem terbangun Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
Organised and collective violence Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … 15
Governance and institutional failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … 18
Financial-system fragility Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … 12
Labour and technology transition Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … 12
Cultural heritage loss Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
Supply-chain and flow disruption Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … 17
Cascading failure Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … 10
Compound and multi-hazard events Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … 9
Structural fragility of interconnected systems Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … 11
06Keterkaitan

How shocks cascade across systems

FIG 5 · Expected direct couplings between systems (row affects column)
WAT ENE FOO HLT BIO FIN TRD INF DIG SEC
Air
Weak expected couplingModerate expected couplingStrong expected coupling
Schematic: the couplings the Coupling instrument expects to estimate. Strengths here are expectations from the literature the edition will cite, not estimates; each becomes ◆ ESTIMATED with its method and references in an edition.
FIG 6 · Simulator: how a shock cascades across systems
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.2
–
berjalan di peramban Anda

AirEnergiPanganKesehatanKeanekaragaman hayatiKeuanganPerdaganganInfrastrukturDigitalKeamanan

Simulator: a threshold cascade on a schematic network of systems. Edge strengths are expected couplings (weak, moderate, strong), not estimates; the shock, coupling, threshold and buffers are yours. NXS-GRX estimates couplings per edition before any coupled value is published.
07Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

30 methods

Pasar, perdagangan, dan rantai pasok

Commodity Price Risk · Price Volatility · Market Regime · Demand Forecasting · Supply Forecasting · Trade Dependency · Bilateral Concentration …

21 methods

Jaringan, ketergantungan, dan risiko sistemik

Dependency Graph · Centrality · Critical Node · Cascading Failure · Contagion · Percolation · Interdependency …

08Users

Who uses it

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors

Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

09Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
SR-03
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Edisi Nexus Reports

10Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Supply chains, trade and chokepoints series (GRX-SER-SR-03), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-03/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000076.
Series key
grix:SER.SR-03:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.ECO.trade.external_dependence_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.