Foundry
The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX solutions · Public sector

UN system and humanitarian agencies

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

Follow a runAll solutions
Page GRX-SOL-UNEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
on: watchlist saved · Monitor with watchlists and alerts6 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Watchlist and thresholdsself-serve
  2. Pulse nowcastweekly
  3. Outlook updateweekly
  4. Analyst review6 hours
  5. Route the alert< 5 ms
  6. Handoff to the authority2 hours
01Need

What this solution does

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

Compare needs across contexts with intervals

Watch weekly signals for review

Read outlooks for anticipatory planning

02Featured run

Monitor with watchlists and alerts

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you.

on: watchlist saved
Monitor with watchlists and alerts
Waiting for approvalTriggered by Monitoring team6 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job
Graph
01Set up
02Sense
03Review
04Deliver
100%
Timeline
Job0 d2 d4 d6 dTarget
Watchlist and thresholdsYouinstant
Pulse nowcastPulse nowcast7 d
Outlook updateOutlook models7 d
Analyst reviewDuty analyst6 h
Route the alertAlert routerinstant
Handoff to the authorityDuty analyst2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 7.3 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Watchlist and thresholds
    Set up · You · self-serve
    Entities and domains · Thresholds and channels
    Alert router
  2. Pulse nowcast matrix · entities × domains
    Sense · Pulse nowcast · weekly
    Anomaly against each place's own history
    Pulse nowcastTested model kernels
  3. Outlook update
    Sense · Outlook models · weekly
    Calibrated probabilities refreshed
    Verification engineMonte Carlo engine
  4. Analyst review approval
    Review · Duty analyst · 6 hours
    Signal checked against sources · Context added
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  5. Route the alert
    Deliver · Alert router · < 5 ms
    Email, webhook or dashboard · Never framed as a warning
    Alert routerWebhooks and streaming
  6. Handoff to the authority
    Deliver · Duty analyst · 2 hours
    Names the authority that decides
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
Artifacts
ArtifactJobWhoStage
WatchlistWatchlist and thresholdsYouSet up
Pulse readingsPulse nowcastPulse nowcastSense
Outlook readingsOutlook updateOutlook modelsSense
Reviewed signalAnalyst reviewDuty analystReview
AlertRoute the alertAlert routerDeliver
Handoff noteHandoff to the authorityDuty analystDeliver
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is an illustration, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03Journeys

Every journey in this solution

NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Monitor with watchlists and alerts

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate

Open the runNXS-GRX · Govern

A signal for review

How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate

Open the runNXS-GRX · Govern

Request a scenario pack

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
04Products

Products and services

INSTPulse and watchlistsWeekly nowcast by country and domain with signals for review and subscriber alerts. Signals are information for review, not warnings.INSTOutlook forecastsProbabilistic outlooks at 1, 3, 12 and 36 months for defined events, with verification scorecards.OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources.INSTSubnational and hexagon risk layersADM1, ADM2 and H3 layers for site screening, planning and allocation.
05Series

Series most read

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.GS-01Global WaterAccess, scarcity, quality, floods and droughts, groundwater depletion, transboundary dependency and the couplings of water to energy, food, health and nature.GS-03Global Food and agrifoodAcute and chronic food insecurity, production shocks, import dependency, prices, fertiliser and logistics chokepoints, nutrition and pollination dependency.GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access.GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses.GS-08Global DisasterMulti-hazard exposure, disaster losses and mortality, return-period losses, protection gaps and coping capacity.GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems NXS-GRX depends on.GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration.

Talk to the Secretariat

Enterprise, public-sector and sovereign work is agreed with GCRI Canada.

Contact

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Pulse signals and outlook probabilities are information for review by competent authorities, never public warnings; official warnings come only from mandated authorities.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.