The Global Risks Index
Hazard Standard · eco · 39 hazards

Land and ecosystems

Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts.

Page GRX-HAZ-ECOEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
Hazard Standard · Land and ecosystems
origin
hybrid30
anthropogenic5
natural4
onset
slow13
creeping12
progressive9
rapid5
predictability
statistical33
forecastable2
nowcast-only2
seasonal1
unpredictable1
6
families
39
hazards
207
relations
31
risk-class tags
01Families

6 families, 39 hazards

Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts. Organised by biosphere; families by driving process.

Vegetation and peat fire eco.wildfire

Fire in living or buried fuel: the family separates the weather conditions that make fire possible from the fire itself and from its two worst special cases (buildings in the path, and peat that smoulders for months).

Extreme fire weathereco.wildfire.fire-weather-extreme

Hot, dry and windy conditions over dry fuels in which any ignition spreads fast and suppression fails.

Also: red flag conditions, fire danger

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastable
Wildfireeco.wildfire.wildfire

An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.

Also: bushfire, forest fire, grass fire

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · nowcast-only
Wildland-urban interface fireeco.wildfire.wui-fire

A fire spreading between wildland vegetation and buildings, so that homes become fuel and evacuation routes close.

Also: interface fire

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · cityPredictability · nowcast-only
Peat and underground fireeco.wildfire.peat-fire

A smouldering fire in peat or coal seams that burns for weeks to years, releasing smoke and carbon and resisting suppression.

Also: smouldering fire, coal seam fire

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · seasonalGlobal risk
Fire regime shifteco.wildfire.fire-regime-shift

A lasting change in how often, how large and how intensely landscapes burn, beyond what local ecosystems and communities are adapted to.

Also: megafire era, new fire regime

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk

Forest and woodland stress eco.forest

Loss or decline of tree cover, split by cause (clearing, decline, single disturbance, invading pest) because the responses and data differ.

Deforestationeco.forest.deforestation

Clearing of forest for other land uses, losing habitat, carbon storage and watershed protection.

Also: forest clearing

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Forest diebackeco.forest.forest-dieback

Widespread tree decline and death from drought, heat, pests or disease.

Also: tree mortality, forest decline

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalPlanetary risk
Large forest disturbanceeco.forest.forest-disturbance

A single event, such as windthrow, ice damage or defoliation, that damages a large share of the trees in a stand or landscape.

Also: windthrow, defoliation

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Forest pest invasioneco.forest.forest-pest-invasion

A non-native insect or pathogen spreading through forests and killing or weakening trees.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Native forest insect outbreakeco.forest.native-insect-outbreak

An eruption of a native tree-killing insect, released by warm winters and drought-stressed trees, that kills forest across whole landscapes and raises fire risk.

Also: bark beetle outbreak, budworm outbreak

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical

Land and wetland degradation eco.land

Long-term loss of the productive or protective function of land and wetlands; the slow end of the domain, where the hazard is cumulative state change rather than an event.

Land degradationeco.land.land-degradation

Long-term decline of the productivity and health of land from erosion, nutrient loss, compaction or salting.

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Desertificationeco.land.desertification

Degradation of dryland into desert-like conditions through climate change and unsustainable land use.

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · countryPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Soil quality declineeco.land.soil-decline

Loss of soil organic matter, structure and nutrients that cuts yields and the water the soil can hold.

Also: soil degradation

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Soil salinisation and sodicityeco.land.salinisation

Accumulation of salts or sodium in soil, from irrigation or seawater, that stunts crops and breaks soil structure.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Wetland losseco.land.wetland-loss

Drainage, filling or drying of wetlands that removes flood buffering, water filtering and habitat.

Also: wetland degradation

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Mangrove losseco.land.mangrove-loss

Clearing or dieback of coastal mangroves, which removes shoreline protection, nursery habitat and carbon stores.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Peatland drainage and degradationeco.land.peatland-degradation

Draining or burning of peatland that oxidises stored carbon, sinks the land and raises fire risk.

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalPlanetary risk
Soil sealingeco.land.soil-sealing

Covering of fertile soil by buildings and pavement that permanently removes farmland, raises runoff and floods and removes soil carbon and habitat.

Also: land take, impervious surface spread

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Soil acidificationeco.land.soil-acidification

Gradual fall in soil pH from fertiliser, acid deposition and crop removal that locks up nutrients, releases toxic aluminium and lowers yields.

Also: acid soils

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · creepingDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical

Biodiversity and species stress eco.species

Decline and sudden loss of living populations and the services they provide: reefs, pollinators, fisheries, wild animals and the conflict that follows when wildlife and people compete.

Biodiversity losseco.species.biodiversity-loss

Decline in the variety and abundance of species and habitats that weakens services such as pollination, fisheries and soil formation.

Also: species decline, habitat loss

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic riskPlanetary risk
Coral bleachingeco.species.coral-bleaching

Corals expelling their algal partners under heat stress, turning white and often dying, with loss of reef fisheries and shore protection.

Also: reef mortality

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastableGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Pollinator declineeco.species.pollinator-decline

A fall in pollinating insects and animals that cuts yields of pollinator-dependent crops and wild plant reproduction.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Fishery collapseeco.species.fishery-collapse

A fish stock cut so far by fishing, warming or habitat loss that it can no longer sustain catches.

Also: stock collapse

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Mass wildlife mortalityeco.species.mass-mortality

A sudden, large die-off of wild animals from disease, toxins, heat, cold or oxygen loss.

Also: die-off

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · unpredictable
Human-wildlife conflicteco.species.human-wildlife-conflict

Damage or injury from wild animals entering farms, villages or roads, and the retaliation that follows against them.

Also: crop raiding, predator attacks

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Wildlife disease panzooticeco.species.wildlife-panzootic

A disease spreading across many wild species and continents that wipes out populations, drives extinctions and can carry pathogens to livestock and people.

Also: chytrid fungus, white-nose syndrome, avian influenza in wild birds

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskEmerging riskExponential risk
Insect declineeco.species.insect-decline

Broad fall in insect abundance and biomass from habitat loss, pesticides, light and warming that starves birds and fish and weakens pest control and decomposition.

Also: insect apocalypse, insect biomass loss

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskEmerging risk
Phenological mismatcheco.species.phenological-mismatch

Warming shifting the timing of flowering, breeding or migration at different rates, so that species miss the food or pollinators they depend on.

Also: timing mismatch, seasonal desynchronisation

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalEmerging risk
Climate-driven species range shifteco.species.climate-range-shift

Movement of species towards the poles, uphill or deeper as climate warms, reshuffling fisheries, pests and disease vectors and stranding species with nowhere to go.

Also: species redistribution, poleward shift

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Jellyfish bloomeco.species.jellyfish-bloom

A swarm of jellyfish or similar animals that clogs power-plant and desalination intakes, kills farmed fish and closes beaches.

Also: jellyfish swarm

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Ecosystem collapseeco.species.ecosystem-collapse

Loss of the defining species, structure and functions of an ecosystem, such as a reef, lake, kelp forest or wetland, beyond the point of natural recovery.

Also: ecological collapse, biodiversity collapse

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalPlanetary risk

Climate-state shifts eco.climate-state

Changes of the whole climate system rather than of one place; kept as hazards so that global-risk models can name them as triggers of the regional hazards.

Abrupt climate-system shifteco.climate-state.abrupt-regime-shift

A threshold crossing in a large climate-system component, such as an ocean circulation or a rainforest, that changes regional climate quickly and may not reverse.

Also: tipping point

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic riskPlanetary risk
Volcanic coolingeco.climate-state.volcanic-cooling

A drop in global or hemispheric temperature for one to three years after a very large eruption loads the stratosphere with sulphate aerosol.

Also: volcanic winter

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic risk

Ecosystem regime shifts eco.regime-shift

Ecosystems that flip to a different, often poorer and self-sustaining state when stress passes a threshold, so that removing the stress does not restore them.

Kelp forest collapseeco.regime-shift.kelp-forest-collapse

Loss of kelp forests to marine heat, grazing urchins or turbid water, replacing them with barren seabed and losing fisheries, carbon and wave shelter.

Also: urchin barrens, kelp loss

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalEmerging risk
Seagrass meadow losseco.regime-shift.seagrass-meadow-loss

Die-off or removal of seagrass meadows from heat, turbidity, nutrients or dredging, losing nursery habitat, sediment stability and stored carbon.

Also: seagrass dieback

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Lake clear-to-turbid shifteco.regime-shift.lake-turbid-shift

A shallow lake switching from clear, plant-rich water to turbid, algae-dominated water once nutrient loading passes a threshold, which then persists even if loading falls.

Also: lake eutrophic flip, shallow lake regime shift

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · districtPredictability · statistical
Woody plant encroachmenteco.regime-shift.woody-encroachment

Spread of shrubs and trees into grasslands and savannas through grazing, fire suppression and rising carbon dioxide, cutting forage and water yield.

Also: bush encroachment, shrub invasion of grassland

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Coastal habitat squeezeeco.regime-shift.coastal-squeeze

Loss of saltmarsh, mudflat and beach habitat trapped between rising seas and fixed defences or development, removing natural flood buffers.

Also: intertidal habitat loss, saltmarsh drowning

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Food-web collapseeco.regime-shift.trophic-cascade-collapse

Loss of key predators, grazers or prey that cascades through a food web, restructuring the ecosystem and the services it supplies.

Also: trophic cascade, defaunation cascade

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
02Relations

207 expert relations

Triggers, amplifications, compound pairs and reductions from the Hazard Standard expert model; 67 lead out of this domain into others.

FromKindToMechanismConfidence
Lightning striketriggerWildfiredry-fuel ignition by a strike without much rainhigh
DerechotriggerLarge forest disturbancewide swath of windthrowhigh
WindstormtriggerLarge forest disturbancewindthrow of treeshigh
WindstormamplifyWildfirewind drives spread and spottinghigh
Downslope windstormamplifyWildfirehot, dry, gusty air drives fire spreadhigh
Downslope windstormamplifyWildland-urban interface fireember showers ignite structureshigh
Downslope windstormtriggerWildfiredowned or clashing lines ignite dry vegetationmedium
Intense rainfallreducesExtreme fire weatherwet fuels and humid airhigh
Intense rainfallreducesWildfirewet fuels slow ignition and spreadhigh
Freezing raintriggerLarge forest disturbanceice loading breaks branches and treeshigh
HeatwaveamplifyExtreme fire weatherhigh temperature dries fuels and lowers humidityhigh
HeatwaveamplifyWildfiredry fuels and strong fire behaviourhigh
HeatwavetriggerMass wildlife mortalitylethal heat stress in wildlife and fishmedium
HeatwavetriggerForest diebackheat stress and hydraulic failure of treesmedium
Hard freezereducesForest pest invasionwinter kill of insectslow
Atmospheric blockingamplifyExtreme fire weatherpersistent hot, dry conditionsmedium
Tropical Pacific climate swingtriggerCoral bleachingsustained high sea temperaturemedium
Tropical Pacific climate swingamplifyFishery collapseupwelling collapse and warm watermedium
Tropical Pacific climate swingamplifyPeat and underground firedrought lowers peat water tablesmedium
Stratospheric ozone loss episodeamplifyBiodiversity lossultraviolet damage to plankton and plantslow
Meteorological droughtamplifyWildfiredry fuelshigh
Meteorological droughtamplifyPeat and underground firefalling peat water tablehigh
Meteorological droughtamplifyForest diebacktree hydraulic stresshigh
Meteorological droughttriggerMass wildlife mortalitywater and food scarcity for wildlifemedium
Meteorological droughtamplifyDesertificationrepeated drought degrades drylandmedium
Meteorological droughtamplifyHuman-wildlife conflictwildlife enter farms and villages for water and foodmedium
Hydrological droughttriggerMass wildlife mortalitylow flow and low oxygen kill fishmedium
Flash droughtamplifyWildfirefast fuel dryingmedium
Storm surgetriggerSoil salinisation and sodicitysalt water deposited on farmlandmedium
Coastal floodtriggerSoil salinisation and sodicitysalt deposition on soilsmedium
TsunamitriggerSoil salinisation and sodicitysalt deposition on farmlandmedium
Sea-level risetriggerWetland losscoastal wetlands drown or are squeezedmedium
Sea-level risetriggerMangrove lossinundation and coastal squeezemedium
Saltwater intrusiontriggerSoil salinisation and sodicityirrigation with, or flooding by, salty waterhigh
Marine heatwavetriggerCoral bleachingthermal stress on reef coralshigh
Marine heatwavetriggerMass wildlife mortalitylethal heat stress in marine lifehigh
Marine heatwaveamplifyFishery collapsestock stress and range shiftsmedium
Marine heatwaveamplifyBiodiversity lossheat stress on marine ecosystemsmedium
Ocean acidificationamplifyCoral bleachingweakened calcification lowers reef resiliencemedium
Ocean acidificationamplifyFishery collapsestress on shell-building prey and larvaelow
Ocean acidificationamplifyBiodiversity losschemical stress on marine calcifiersmedium
Marine oxygen depletiontriggerMass wildlife mortalityfish and bottom life suffocatehigh
Marine oxygen depletionamplifyFishery collapseloss of habitat and stockmedium
Harmful algal bloomtriggerMass wildlife mortalitytoxins and oxygen loss kill fish and wildlifehigh
Snow droughtamplifyWildfireearlier drying and a longer fire seasonmedium
Ice-sheet mass losstriggerAbrupt climate-system shiftfreshwater input may weaken ocean circulationlow
Sea-ice losstriggerBiodiversity losshabitat loss for ice-dependent speciesmedium
Lava flowtriggerWildfirecontact ignition of vegetationhigh
Volcanic ballistic projectilestriggerWildfirehot fragments ignite vegetationmedium
Pyroclastic flowtriggerWildfirehot current ignites everything it reacheshigh
Volcanic gas and aerosol emissiontriggerVolcanic coolingstratospheric sulphate reflects sunlightmedium
Soil erosiontriggerSoil quality declinetopsoil and organic matter losthigh
Soil erosionamplifyLand degradationproductive capacity declineshigh
Coastal erosiontriggerMangrove lossshoreline retreat removes the mangrove fringelow
Dune encroachmentamplifyDesertificationmoving sand buries farmlandmedium
Meteorite impacttriggerWildfirethermal radiation and hot ejectamedium
Meteorite impacttriggerAbrupt climate-system shifta very large impact loads the atmosphere with dust and sootlow
AirbursttriggerLarge forest disturbanceblast flattens forestmedium
Extreme fire weatheramplifyWildfirelow humidity, heat and wind raise spread and intensityhigh
Extreme fire weatheramplifyWildland-urban interface fireembers carried into settlementshigh
WildfiretriggerSmoke plumecombustion emits smokehigh
WildfiretriggerWildland-urban interface firethe fire front reaches settlementshigh
WildfiretriggerOutdoor air pollution episodesmoke raises fine particle levels downwindhigh
WildfiretriggerBlack carbonincomplete combustion emits soothigh
WildfiretriggerDebris flowburned slopes shed sediment in the next heavy rainhigh
WildfiretriggerSoil erosionloss of vegetation and water-repellent soilhigh
WildfiretriggerFlash floodburned catchments produce rapid runoffmedium
WildfiretriggerWidespread power outagelines burned or de-energised as a precautionhigh
WildfiretriggerBiodiversity losshabitat destroyedmedium
WildfiretriggerLarge forest disturbancestand-replacing firehigh
WildfiretriggerChemical water contaminationash and retardant wash into suppliesmedium
WildfiretriggerMass displacementevacuation and loss of homesmedium
WildfireamplifyGlacier mass losssoot darkens snow and icelow
Wildland-urban interface firetriggerBuilding and urban fireembers and radiant heat ignite buildingshigh
Wildland-urban interface firetriggerToxic gas releaseburning building materials and storesmedium
Wildland-urban interface firetriggerDisaster and conflict debrisburned buildings leave contaminated debrishigh
Wildland-urban interface firetriggerEmergency-response overloadmany structures threatened at oncemedium
Peat and underground firetriggerOutdoor air pollution episodelong smouldering smoke episodeshigh
Peat and underground firetriggerHazeregional smoke hazehigh
Peat and underground fireamplifyPeatland drainage and degradationcarbon store burned awayhigh
DeforestationtriggerBiodiversity losshabitat removal and fragmentationhigh
DeforestationtriggerSoil erosionbare soil exposed to rainhigh
DeforestationamplifySlope slideloss of root reinforcement on slopesmedium
DeforestationamplifyFlash floodfaster runoff from cleared slopesmedium
DeforestationamplifyZoonotic spillover eventmore contact between people, wildlife and livestockmedium
DeforestationamplifyMalaria resurgenceclearing creates breeding habitat at forest edgeslow
DeforestationamplifyWildfirefire used for clearing escapes; drier fragmented forestmedium
Forest diebackamplifyWildfiredead fuel accumulatesmedium
Forest diebackamplifyBiodiversity losshabitat quality fallsmedium
Large forest disturbanceamplifyWildfirefallen trees add fuelmedium
Large forest disturbanceamplifyForest pest invasiondamaged trees host bark beetlesmedium
Forest pest invasiontriggerForest diebackinfestation kills treeshigh
Land degradationamplifyAcute food crisislower yields and grazing capacitymedium
Land degradationamplifyDust stormbare degraded soil is a dust sourcemedium
Land degradationtriggerMass displacementlivelihoods on the land faillow
DesertificationamplifyDust stormmore erodible surfacehigh
DesertificationamplifyWater and resource conflictcompetition for shrinking productive landmedium
DesertificationtriggerDune encroachmentloss of vegetation lets sand movemedium
Soil salinisation and sodicityamplifyAcute food crisislower crop yields on salt-affected landmedium
Wetland lossamplifyRiver floodloss of flood storagemedium
Wetland lossamplifyBiodiversity losshabitat loss for wetland specieshigh
Mangrove lossamplifyStorm surgeless wave and surge attenuationhigh
Mangrove lossamplifyCoastal erosionroots no longer hold sedimenthigh
Mangrove lossamplifyFishery collapsenursery habitat lostmedium
Peatland drainage and degradationamplifyPeat and underground firedrained peat burns more easilyhigh
Peatland drainage and degradationtriggerLand subsidencedrained peat oxidises and compactshigh
Biodiversity lossamplifyPollinator declinefewer floral resources and nesting sitesmedium
Biodiversity lossamplifyZoonotic spillover eventloss of buffer species changes host communitieslow
Biodiversity lossamplifyAbrupt climate-system shiftecosystems lose resilience to changelow
Biodiversity lossamplifyTick-borne disease surgefewer predators and fewer low-competence hosts for tickslow
Coral bleachingamplifyFishery collapsereef fish lose habitatmedium
Coral bleachingamplifyCoastal erosiondead reefs dissipate less wave energymedium
Coral bleachingamplifyBiodiversity lossreef species lose their structurehigh
Pollinator declineamplifyAcute food crisislower yields of pollinated cropslow
Fishery collapsetriggerAcute food crisisloss of protein and income in fishing communitiesmedium
Fishery collapsetriggerCommodity price shockfish supply fallslow
Mass wildlife mortalitytriggerChemical water contaminationdecomposing carcasses foul watermedium
Human-wildlife conflicttriggerRabies outbreakbites from infected wild animalslow
Abrupt climate-system shiftamplifySea-level riseaccelerated ice loss and ocean warmingmedium
Abrupt climate-system shiftamplifySimultaneous multi-region crop failuresimultaneous shifts in growing conditionsmedium
Abrupt climate-system shiftamplifyBiodiversity lossclimates move faster than species can followmedium
Volcanic coolingtriggerSimultaneous multi-region crop failureshort, cold growing seasonsmedium
Volcanic coolingamplifyHard freezelower summer and autumn temperaturesmedium
Volcanic coolingreducesHeatwaveless sunlight at the surfacemedium
Acid depositiontriggerForest diebacksoil acidification and leaf damagemedium
Acid depositionamplifyBiodiversity lossacidified lakes and soilsmedium
Chemical water contaminationtriggerMass wildlife mortalitytoxic exposure of fish and wildlifemedium
Oil spilltriggerMass wildlife mortalityoiling of birds and marine lifehigh
Oil spilltriggerFishery collapsefishing grounds closed and stocks harmedmedium
Oil spilltriggerMangrove lossoil smothers rootsmedium
Pesticide exposuretriggerPollinator declineinsecticides harm bees and other pollinatorshigh
Marine debristriggerMass wildlife mortalityentanglement and ingestionmedium
Waste impoundment failuretriggerMass wildlife mortalitytoxic slurry kills aquatic lifehigh
Invasive species spreadtriggerBiodiversity lossnative species outcompetedhigh
Invasive species spreadamplifyWildfireinvasive grasses add continuous fuelmedium
Concurrent heat and droughtamplifyWildfireextreme fuel drynesshigh
Concurrent heat and droughttriggerForest diebackhydraulic failure of treeshigh
Climate-forcing boundary transgressiontriggerFire regime shiftlonger, hotter fire seasonshigh
Extinction-rate boundary transgressionamplifyBiodiversity losslost species and genes remove recovery capacityhigh
DeforestationamplifyLand-system change boundary transgressionlocal clearing sums into biome-scale losshigh
DeforestationamplifyEmerging arbovirus outbreaknew contact with vectorsmedium
DeforestationtriggerAmazon rainforest diebackclearing reduces moisture recyclinghigh
Nitrogen flow boundary transgressionamplifySoil acidificationnitrification of fertiliser acidifies soilhigh
Phosphorus flow boundary transgressiontriggerLake clear-to-turbid shiftnutrient loading passes the lake thresholdhigh
Novel-entities boundary transgressionamplifyInsect declinepesticide and chemical burden harms insectsmedium
Novel-entities boundary transgressionamplifyBiodiversity losschemical stress on ecosystemsmedium
Warm-water coral reef die-offamplifyFishery collapseloss of reef habitat for fish stockshigh
Coral bleachingamplifyWarm-water coral reef die-offrepeated bleaching outpaces recoveryhigh
Coral bleachingtriggerEcosystem collapserepeated bleaching kills reefshigh
Arctic Ocean atlantificationamplifyClimate-driven species range shiftAtlantic species move into Arctic watershigh
Amazon rainforest diebackamplifyWildfiredegraded forest burns more readilyhigh
WildfireamplifyAmazon rainforest diebackrepeated fire kills fire-sensitive treeshigh
WildfiretriggerFire-generated thunderstormintense fire heat drives deep convectionhigh
WildfiretriggerClimate and natural-hazard damage to heritagefire reaches historic landscapes and buildingsmedium
WildfiretriggerCarbon removal reversaloffset forests burnhigh
Native forest insect outbreakamplifyBoreal forest southern diebackbeetle-killed stands do not regenerate in warmer climatemedium
Native forest insect outbreakamplifyWildfiredead trees add fuelmedium
Sahel vegetation regime shiftamplifyDesertificationvegetation loss reinforces dryingmedium
Permafrost carbon releaseamplifyAbrupt climate-system shiftadded greenhouse gases speed warmingmedium
Soil carbon respiration feedbackamplifySoil quality declineloss of organic mattermedium

47 more relations are in the Hazard Standard dataset.

04Across the Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms, standards, learning and working groups across GCRI, GRF and GRA for the systems these hazards act on.

05Standards

Standards that govern this domain

Propose a change to Hazard Standard

Definitions and relations are a draft for expert review; corrections follow the standards development process.