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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index solutions · Open commons

研究与学术界

复现每个数值，研究并扩展方法，贡献数据并参与审查。

Follow a run All solutions
页面 GRX-SOL-RESEARCH版本 2026 基线版证据截止 2026-09-30数值 尚未发布方法 v1.0.0-draft
on: value selected · Reproduce any value5 jobs · 4 checks
  1. Pick a value instant
  2. Fetch the replication pack instant
  3. Recompute locally self-serve
  4. Digest comparison instant
  5. Report a difference instant

01Need

What this solution does

复现每个数值，研究并扩展方法，贡献数据并参与审查。

Replicate every value

Study methods

Contribute data and review

02Featured run

复现任意数值

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match.

on: value selected

复现任意数值

In progressTriggered by Researcher5 jobs4 checks

流程图
01Select
02Fetch
03Run
04比较
05比较

100%
时间线
Job0 h1 hTarget
Pick a valueYouinstant
Fetch the replication packReplication serviceinstant
Recompute locallyYouinstant
Digest comparisonYouinstant
Report a differenceYouinstant

End to end on the longest path: about 1 h of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. Pick a value

    Select · You · instant
    Page ID or observation key
    公开截止数据 API来源追溯（W3C PROV）
  2. Fetch the replication pack

    Fetch · Replication service · instant
    Inputs by source release · Method version, kernel and seed
    Replication packsProvenance (W3C PROV)
  3. Recompute locally

    Run · You · self-serve
    Same kernel, same seed · Open-source reference implementation
    Open SDKs (Python, R, TypeScript)Tested model kernels
  4. Digest comparison

    Compare · You · instant
    Digest matched or differences listed
    Replication packs
  5. Report a difference

    Compare · You · instant
    Opens a correction with the comparison attached
    更正记录
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
Value reference Pick a value 您 Select
Replication pack Fetch the replication pack Replication service Fetch
Recomputed value Recompute locally 您 Run
Comparison report Digest comparison 您 比较
Correction request Report a difference 您 比较
已完成进行中等待批准QueuedTest jobYou are here
Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03旅程

Every journey in this solution

NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Indices · Test

复现任意数值

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

成为专家评审员

Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

提供数据集

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

04产品

产品与服务

OPENMethodology, indicator standard and crosswalksThe full construction method, the indicator definitions, the hazard keys and crosswalks to source code lists and established indices. PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps. OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources.
05系列

Series most read

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access. GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses. GS-11Global BiodiversityEnvironmental pressure, ecosystem condition, nature dependency of economies and the nature–climate–water–food feedbacks. GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems behind NXS-GRX. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration. SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security. SR-09Planetary boundariesEarth-system boundaries and tipping elements as slow-onset, high-impact risk.

Start free

The open commons is free to read, cite, build on and reproduce.

Start free

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

Pulse 信号和展望概率是供主管当局审查的信息，绝不是公共警报；官方警报只由获授权的当局发布。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.