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Il Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index solutions · Open commons

Ricerca e mondo accademico

Replicare ogni valore, studiare ed estendere i metodi, contribuire con dati e revisioni.

Follow a run All solutions
Pagina GRX-SOL-RESEARCHEdizione Edizione di riferimento 2026Chiusura delle evidenze 2026-09-30Valori non ancora pubblicatiMetodo v1.0.0-draft
on: value selected · Reproduce any value5 jobs · 4 checks
  1. Pick a value instant
  2. Fetch the replication pack instant
  3. Recompute locally self-serve
  4. Digest comparison instant
  5. Report a difference instant

01Need

What this solution does

Replicare ogni valore, studiare ed estendere i metodi, contribuire con dati e revisioni.

Replicate every value

Study methods

Contribute data and review

02Featured run

Riprodurre qualsiasi valore

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match.

on: value selected

Riprodurre qualsiasi valore

In progressTriggered by Researcher5 jobs4 checks

Grafo
01Select
02Fetch
03Run
04Confronta
05Confronta

100%
Cronologia
Job0 h1 hTarget
Pick a valueYouinstant
Fetch the replication packReplication serviceinstant
Recompute locallyYouinstant
Digest comparisonYouinstant
Report a differenceYouinstant

End to end on the longest path: about 1 h of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Passaggi
  1. Pick a value

    Select · You · instant
    Page ID or observation key
    API del taglio pubblicoProvenienza (W3C PROV)
  2. Fetch the replication pack

    Fetch · Replication service · instant
    Inputs by source release · Method version, kernel and seed
    Replication packsProvenance (W3C PROV)
  3. Recompute locally

    Run · You · self-serve
    Same kernel, same seed · Open-source reference implementation
    Open SDKs (Python, R, TypeScript)Tested model kernels
  4. Digest comparison

    Compare · You · instant
    Digest matched or differences listed
    Replication packs
  5. Report a difference

    Compare · You · instant
    Opens a correction with the comparison attached
    Registro delle correzioni
Artefatti
Artefatto Attività Chi Fase
Value reference Pick a value Tu Select
Replication pack Fetch the replication pack Replication service Fetch
Recomputed value Recompute locally Tu Run
Comparison report Digest comparison Tu Confronta
Correction request Report a difference Tu Confronta
CompletatoIn corsoIn attesa di approvazioneQueuedTest jobYou are here
Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03Percorsi

Every journey in this solution

NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Indices · Test

Riprodurre qualsiasi valore

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Diventa revisore esperto

Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Offri un dataset

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

04Prodotti

Prodotti e servizi

OPENMethodology, indicator standard and crosswalksThe full construction method, the indicator definitions, the hazard keys and crosswalks to source code lists and established indices. PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps. OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources.
05Serie

Series most read

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access. GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses. GS-11Global BiodiversityEnvironmental pressure, ecosystem condition, nature dependency of economies and the nature–climate–water–food feedbacks. GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems behind NXS-GRX. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration. SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security. SR-09Planetary boundariesEarth-system boundaries and tipping elements as slow-onset, high-impact risk.

Start free

The open commons is free to read, cite, build on and reproduce.

Start free

Stato

La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.

Che cosa non è NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.

I segnali Pulse e le probabilità di previsione sono informazioni per l'esame delle autorità competenti, mai allerte pubbliche; le allerte ufficiali provengono solo dalle autorità incaricate.

Istituzioni e fonti

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Ogni valore riporta l’attribuzione delle proprie fonti, che mantengono le rispettive licenze. I nomi esterni sono citati unicamente a fini di interoperabilità. I testi redatti da Nexus sono destinati alla licenza CC BY 4.0 al momento della pubblicazione.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.