NXS-GRX-BRA · South America · Regions

Ceara

First-level unit, Brazil: people, area, the units inside and neighbours, with risk values when released.

Page GRX-BRA-REdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30ISO BRA / BRStatus UN member stateValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft

6,958,483

people (GHSL 2025)

148,762 km²

area

3.3%

of Brazil

198

units inside

01Map

Inside Ceara

The 198 ADM2 units of Ceara.

FIG 1 · 198 units inside Ceara

Loading the map

Colour by

Units rise with people per km² · GHSL 2025 raster · terrain · ADM1 ADM2Risk values when released

Lowest fifthLow fifthMiddle fifthHigh fifthHighest fifthNo data

Column height and colour show people per km² by unit, in quantile fifths among the units shown (the key on the map gives the breaks); units with no people on the grid are grey, not the lowest class; the raster beneath is the GHSL 2025 population grid. Source observations, not index values. Choose a humanitarian figure from the list to colour and raise the units by it; each figure shows its source on the unit page. Select a unit to drill into the units inside it; the path above the map climbs back.

02Figures

People, area and density

Source observations from open grids summed inside the boundary; not index values.

People · GHSL 2025

6,958,483

3.3% of Brazil.

People · WorldPop 2025

6,820,491

-2% against GHSL; the two grids differ in method.

Area

148,762 km²

47 people per km².

Code

BR-CE

Subdivision code as carried by the boundary source.

Low coastal zone

108,135

people on land at or below 10 m, 1.6% of the unit (GEBCO 2024 and GHSL 2025).

03Humanitarian data

Ceara in humanitarian data

Source observations from the Humanitarian Data Exchange, matched to this unit by name, each with its reference date, provider and licence. They are not index values.

Population · 2022-12-31

8,794,957

people. UNFPA · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Poverty headcount · 2015-12-31

6.1%

of people in multidimensional poverty. Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative · Public Domain / No restrictions (CC0).

04Units

198 units inside Ceara

Each unit has its own page.

Boundary licences: Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Generic · Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)

Filter units

Unit	Code	People (GHSL)	People (WorldPop)	Area km²	Per km²	Share	Coast ≤ 10 m
Abaiara	–	12,637	11,144	180.12	70	0.1%	0
Acarape	–	13,228	12,841	130.34	101	0.1%	0
Acaraú	–	61,391	64,191	845.34	73	0.6%	18,363
Acopiara	–	58,753	43,126	2,262.98	26	0.6%	0
Aiuaba	–	18,814	13,654	2,449.36	8	0.2%	0
Alcântaras	–	13,630	12,586	136.21	100	0.1%	0
Altaneira	–	5,900	4,455	73.61	80	0.1%	0
Alto Santo	–	17,948	14,902	1,352.1	13	0.2%	0
Amontada	–	44,581	44,360	1,179.94	38	0.5%	2,522
Antonina do Norte	–	7,644	7,475	261.38	29	0.1%	0
Apuiarés	–	14,134	11,606	546.75	26	0.1%	0
Aquiraz	–	84,275	92,182	482.23	175	0.9%	1,922
Aracati	–	73,084	74,106	1,233.6	59	0.8%	41,249
Aracoiaba	–	33,911	32,623	647.21	52	0.4%	0
Ararendá	–	13,994	13,552	343.45	41	0.1%	0
Araripe	–	21,973	18,564	1,101.48	20	0.2%	0
Aratuba	–	10,596	9,504	119.96	88	0.1%	0
Arneiroz	–	9,533	7,284	1,074.27	9	0.1%	0
Assaré	–	24,791	21,065	1,159.32	21	0.3%	0
Aurora	–	26,852	24,059	888.47	30	0.3%	0
Baixio	–	6,019	4,920	146.49	41	0.1%	0
Banabuiú	–	19,755	18,088	1,083.67	18	0.2%	0
Baraúna	–	27,676	26,863	829.92	33	0.3%	0
Barbalha	–	75,023	104,598	612.16	123	0.8%	0
Barreira	–	20,331	21,401	260.48	78	0.2%	0
Barro	–	25,422	19,716	715.36	36	0.3%	0
Barroquinha	–	12,040	12,357	386.51	31	0.1%	776
Baturité	–	37,728	34,021	317.69	119	0.4%	0
Beberibe	–	51,637	50,230	1,603.93	32	0.5%	4,151
Bela Cruz	–	43,470	40,194	845.52	51	0.4%	801
Bernardino Batista	–	1,217	1,464	57.96	21	0%	0
Boa Viagem	–	58,329	51,595	2,848.64	20	0.6%	0
Bom Jesus	–	321	452	47.32	7	0%	0
Brejo Santo	–	54,446	57,516	657.58	83	0.6%	0
Cachoeira dos Índios	–	9,891	8,156	194.1	51	0.1%	0
Cajueiro da Praia	–	9,460	9,215	272.66	35	0.1%	3,703
Camocim	–	57,814	55,744	1,123.5	51	0.6%	20,099
Campos Sales	–	30,455	26,197	1,086.41	28	0.3%	0
Canindé	–	83,699	78,510	3,048.24	27	0.9%	0
Capistrano	–	20,830	18,962	225.3	92	0.2%	0
Caridade	–	22,779	15,486	932.62	24	0.2%	0
Cariré	–	20,385	17,718	758.24	27	0.2%	0
Caririaçu	–	25,875	24,388	637.11	41	0.3%	0
Cariús	–	22,408	19,328	1,040.37	22	0.2%	0
Carnaubal	–	23,857	23,495	364.57	65	0.2%	0
Cascavel	–	75,764	78,849	843.78	90	0.8%	3,664
Catarina	–	20,056	7,440	490.25	41	0.2%	0
Catunda	–	10,546	10,498	786.65	13	0.1%	0
Caucaia	–	616,544	532,822	1,228.25	502	6.4%	72,673
Cedro	–	27,002	21,430	732.77	37	0.3%	0
Chaval	–	13,411	12,348	237.78	56	0.1%	5,320
Choró	–	14,145	12,193	819.67	17	0.1%	0
Chorozinho	–	19,308	18,521	296.96	65	0.2%	0
Coreaú	–	23,932	21,291	753.03	32	0.2%	0
Crateús	–	78,927	78,491	2,996.74	26	0.8%	0
Crato	–	151,643	148,575	1,141.07	133	1.6%	0
Croatá	–	20,080	19,344	700.34	29	0.2%	0
Cruz	–	33,169	41,702	337.37	98	0.3%	7,491
Deputado Irapuan Pinheiro	–	10,900	9,747	473.28	23	0.1%	0
Doutor Severiano	–	4,063	3,919	114.04	36	0%	0
Encanto	–	6,310	6,981	126.77	50	0.1%	0
Ereré	–	10,498	9,187	365.59	29	0.1%	0
Eusébio	–	80,049	138,518	78.61	1,018	0.8%	4,766
Farias Brito	–	20,035	17,118	533.16	38	0.2%	0
Forquilha	–	25,466	25,673	571.47	45	0.3%	0
Fortaleza	–	2,443,521	2,221,777	313.9	7,784	25.2%	122,103
Fortim	–	17,791	18,880	285.48	62	0.2%	4,459
Frecheirinha	–	14,581	17,341	209.59	70	0.2%	0
General Sampaio	–	7,993	6,953	231.13	35	0.1%	0
Graça	–	20,504	18,255	260.16	79	0.2%	0
Granja	–	60,134	58,314	2,677.89	22	0.6%	2,664
Granjeiro	–	5,742	5,408	111.5	51	0.1%	0
Groaíras	–	11,227	11,045	155.88	72	0.1%	0
Guaiúba	–	23,848	25,006	257.84	92	0.2%	0
Guaraciaba do Norte	–	41,388	42,128	626.14	66	0.4%	0
Guaramiranga	–	5,470	5,086	90.76	60	0.1%	0
Hidrolândia	–	22,079	18,303	931.29	24	0.2%	0
Horizonte	–	73,621	85,679	160.79	458	0.8%	0
Ibaretama	–	14,002	11,866	882.06	16	0.1%	0
Ibiapina	–	30,578	29,388	415.5	74	0.3%	0
Ibicuitinga	–	12,709	11,552	424.44	30	0.1%	0
Icapuí	–	19,505	22,606	422.16	46	0.2%	2,504
Icó	–	74,236	63,044	1,874.84	40	0.8%	0
Iguatu	–	108,480	102,670	996.8	109	1.1%	0
Independência	–	28,201	24,353	3,235.8	9	0.3%	0
Ipaporanga	–	11,991	12,118	707.8	17	0.1%	0
Ipaumirim	–	14,806	14,375	277.16	53	0.2%	0
Ipu	–	43,804	41,563	628.18	70	0.5%	0
Ipubi	–	33,564	33,029	698.06	48	0.3%	0
Ipueiras	–	39,943	35,279	1,490.84	27	0.4%	0
Iracema	–	15,073	14,208	840.62	18	0.2%	0
Irauçuba	–	26,526	25,801	1,474.09	18	0.3%	0
Itaiçaba	–	9,982	9,330	213.02	47	0.1%	4,285
Itaitinga	–	39,993	60,744	155	258	0.4%	0
Itapajé	–	54,964	44,927	433.33	127	0.6%	0
Itapipoca	–	137,442	141,541	1,607.57	85	1.4%	473
Itapiúna	–	21,282	17,945	594.36	36	0.2%	0
Itarema	–	39,408	42,331	718.99	55	0.4%	7,679
Itatira	–	20,717	19,834	833.19	25	0.2%	0
Jaguaretama	–	19,043	17,028	1,834.22	10	0.2%	0
Jaguaribara	–	11,806	10,238	625.69	19	0.1%	0
Jaguaribe	–	36,101	34,376	1,884.75	19	0.4%	0
Jaguaruana	–	36,945	34,183	861.89	43	0.4%	2,689
Jardim	–	28,004	26,936	547.91	51	0.3%	0
Jati	–	8,520	8,138	370.77	23	0.1%	0
Jijoca de Jericoacoara	–	12,271	16,838	209.98	58	0.1%	654
Juazeiro do Norte	–	287,476	274,473	259.56	1,108	3%	0
Jucás	–	25,650	23,469	943.79	27	0.3%	0
Lavras da Mangabeira	–	36,545	34,202	950.45	38	0.4%	0
Limoeiro do Norte	–	60,504	59,960	747.46	81	0.6%	0
Madalena	–	19,799	16,211	1,000.82	20	0.2%	0
Maracanaú	–	283,487	274,061	104.97	2,701	2.9%	0
Maranguape	–	136,908	112,157	586.15	234	1.4%	0
Marco	–	19,441	21,457	576.84	34	0.2%	0
Martinópole	–	9,922	10,402	304.48	33	0.1%	0
Massapê	–	40,418	38,405	570.15	71	0.4%	0
Mauriti	–	49,603	46,711	1,083.94	46	0.5%	0
Meruoca	–	15,198	16,898	152.01	100	0.2%	0
Milagres	–	30,849	26,342	582.45	53	0.3%	0
Milhã	–	13,777	14,005	504.5	27	0.1%	0
Miraíma	–	14,458	15,291	710.22	20	0.1%	0
Missão Velha	–	36,072	39,738	616.34	59	0.4%	0
Mombaça	–	49,051	38,186	2,125.4	23	0.5%	0
Monsenhor Tabosa	–	19,625	18,695	896.18	22	0.2%	0
Morada Nova	–	63,426	60,328	2,778.75	23	0.7%	0
Moraújo	–	10,134	9,098	416.07	24	0.1%	0
Morrinhos	–	24,022	24,527	414.54	58	0.2%	0
Mucambo	–	15,791	14,124	193.6	82	0.2%	0
Mulungu	–	9,914	10,287	98.72	100	0.1%	0
Nova Olinda	–	17,972	18,274	284.07	63	0.2%	0
Nova Russas	–	36,304	33,141	738.49	49	0.4%	0
Novo Oriente	–	29,477	27,396	951.19	31	0.3%	0
Ocara	–	29,633	28,243	767.3	39	0.3%	0
Orós	–	22,876	19,111	579.78	39	0.2%	0
Pacajus	–	74,927	75,652	251.14	298	0.8%	0
Pacatuba	–	80,502	101,784	134.01	601	0.8%	0
Pacoti	–	15,012	12,730	112.55	133	0.2%	0
Pacujá	–	6,838	6,240	88.31	77	0.1%	0
Palhano	–	10,177	10,274	439.5	23	0.1%	0
Palmácia	–	13,328	9,052	129.11	103	0.1%	0
Paracuru	–	34,982	39,633	305.67	114	0.4%	1,125
Paraipaba	–	35,097	34,551	290.45	121	0.4%	7,389
Parambu	–	34,495	33,360	2,322.33	15	0.4%	0
Paramoti	–	14,889	10,860	541.13	28	0.2%	0
Pedra Branca	–	45,061	38,157	1,307.51	34	0.5%	0
Penaforte	–	10,347	10,200	150.25	69	0.1%	0
Pentecoste	–	44,165	42,764	1,384.05	32	0.5%	0
Pereiro	–	26,861	24,067	437.22	61	0.3%	0
Pindoretama	–	3,671	4,208	73.82	50	0%	0
Piquet Carneiro	–	18,247	17,887	592.48	31	0.2%	0
Pires Ferreira	–	11,747	11,003	245.35	48	0.1%	0
Poço Dantas	–	3,724	3,813	97.99	38	0%	0
Poranga	–	12,964	12,071	1,317.12	10	0.1%	0
Porteiras	–	14,873	15,962	225.84	66	0.2%	0
Potengi	–	13,210	9,863	345.62	38	0.1%	0
Potiretama	–	11,447	10,111	411.16	28	0.1%	0
Quiterianópolis	–	22,192	21,086	1,046.78	21	0.2%	0
Quixadá	–	90,847	86,564	2,031.65	45	0.9%	0
Quixelô	–	16,158	15,145	609.09	27	0.2%	0
Quixeramobim	–	83,303	85,285	3,340.87	25	0.9%	0
Quixeré	–	21,461	20,405	612.78	35	0.2%	0
Redenção	–	40,821	35,763	250	163	0.4%	0
Reriutaba	–	19,874	18,353	376.33	53	0.2%	0
Rodolfo Fernandes	–	257	259	155.3	2	0%	0
Russas	–	85,933	78,858	1,617.86	53	0.9%	0
Saboeiro	–	17,730	13,440	1,386.77	13	0.2%	0
Salitre	–	16,096	16,488	810.76	20	0.2%	0
Santa Quitéria	–	47,895	40,420	4,281.95	11	0.5%	0
Santana do Acaraú	–	34,240	31,706	976.5	35	0.4%	0
Santana do Cariri	–	20,378	19,239	857.69	24	0.2%	0
São Benedito	–	41,126	39,819	352.7	117	0.4%	0
São Francisco do Oeste	–	3,050	2,784	75.7	40	0%	0
São Gonçalo do Amarante	–	55,660	61,386	847.95	66	0.6%	219
São João do Jaguaribe	–	7,274	4,964	280.58	26	0.1%	0
São Luís do Curu	–	3,637	3,224	122.75	30	0%	0
São Miguel	–	17,428	17,009	166.46	105	0.2%	0
Senador Pompeu	–	29,438	25,687	960.8	31	0.3%	0
Senador Sá	–	8,007	8,076	426.99	19	0.1%	0
Sobral	–	216,808	216,079	2,078.1	104	2.2%	0
Solonópole	–	20,432	19,749	1,543.3	13	0.2%	0
Tabuleiro do Norte	–	35,531	32,347	854.72	42	0.4%	0
Tamboril	–	27,702	23,931	2,021.87	14	0.3%	0
Tarrafas	–	8,251	6,497	414.34	20	0.1%	0
Tauá	–	62,118	64,892	4,027.89	15	0.6%	0
Tejuçuoca	–	17,984	16,067	762.22	24	0.2%	0
Tianguá	–	83,808	91,100	915.28	92	0.9%	0
Tibau	–	628	1,019	170.18	4	0%	292
Trairi	–	54,003	58,173	933.8	58	0.6%	2,342
Tururu	–	10,533	10,193	200.77	52	0.1%	0
Ubajara	–	31,563	30,062	426.03	74	0.3%	0
Umari	–	8,081	6,539	263.9	31	0.1%	0
Umirim	–	22,461	18,882	317.25	71	0.2%	0
Uruburetama	–	27,093	24,681	100.47	270	0.3%	0
Uruoca	–	13,938	13,917	700.26	20	0.1%	0
Varjota	–	17,910	16,966	179.65	100	0.2%	0
Várzea Alegre	–	44,320	41,378	833.37	53	0.5%	0
Venha-Ver	–	5,981	3,816	72.03	83	0.1%	0
Viçosa do Ceará	–	63,485	63,318	1,318.78	48	0.7%	0

05Exposure

Open exposure layers

Count of H3 resolution-3 cells whose centre falls in the unit and that carry each Natural Earth layer.

Urban areas: 622.2 H3 cells
Ports: 2 H3 cells
Airports: 1 H3 cells
Major roads: 4,177.1 H3 cells
Railways: 1,285.9 H3 cells
Rivers and lakes: None at this resolution

06Risk

Risk values

Values when released. Subnational risk values for Ceara publish with the edition from The Global Risks Index. Until then, run a scenario on open data for Brazil.

Run a scenario Hazards Domain indices

07Neighbours

Neighbouring units

08Sources

Sources, credits and licences

ADM1 boundaries: geoBoundaries (William & Mary geoLab), gbOpen BRA ADM1, source: geoBoundaries, Wikimedia Commons, licence: Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Generic · source · represents 2006
ADM2 boundaries: geoBoundaries (William & Mary geoLab), gbOpen BRA ADM2, source: Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE), OCHA ROLAC, licence: Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO) · source · represents 2020
Basemap: OpenFreeMap © OpenMapTiles (CC BY 4.0) · data © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL 1.0). Vector tiles requested by the reader’s browser, unmodified; the map falls back to plain land and sea when the host does not answer.
Terrain: Terrain Tiles (Mapzen, AWS Open Data), compiled from SRTM and other public elevation sources (NASA, USGS, ETOPO1, GMTED, EU-DEM under the Copernicus programme, Geoscience Australia, Kartverket, INEGI, LINZ, data.gov.uk). Display relief, not survey data.
People: GHSL 2025 population grid, European Commission Joint Research Centre (CC BY 4.0), shown at 0.05° and summed per unit; WorldPop 2025 (CC BY 4.0) as a second estimate. Units smaller than a grid cell take the density of the cell under them.
Countries: Natural Earth (public domain).
Elevation: GEBCO Compilation Group (2024) GEBCO 2024 Grid (public domain), reduced to 0.05°: the share of each cell’s land at or below 10 m, weighted by GHSL 2025 people for the low coastal zone.
Position: Boundaries are shown for location only and take no position on any boundary, name or status.

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

A country profile reads public evidence about a place. It is not a statement by or about the policy of any government, takes no position on the status of any territory, and does not imply a national programme or participation. Names follow UN M49.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Pulse signals and outlook probabilities are information for review by competent authorities, never public warnings; official warnings come only from mandated authorities.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.

Ceara

Inside Ceara

People, area and density

6,958,483

6,820,491

148,762 km²

BR-CE

108,135

Ceara in humanitarian data

8,794,957

6.1%

198 units inside Ceara

Open exposure layers

Risk values

Neighbouring units

Sources, credits and licences

Status

What NXS-GRX is not

Institutions and sources

Not for profit

Who funds us

Independence

Licence