Foundry
The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX solutions · Open commons

Research and academia

Replicate every value, study and extend the methods, contribute data and review.

Follow a runAll solutions
Page GRX-SOL-RESEARCHEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
on: value selected · Reproduce any value5 jobs · 4 checks
  1. Pick a valueinstant
  2. Fetch the replication packinstant
  3. Recompute locallyself-serve
  4. Digest comparisoninstant
  5. Report a differenceinstant
01Need

What this solution does

Replicate every value, study and extend the methods, contribute data and review.

Replicate every value

Study methods

Contribute data and review

02Featured run

Reproduce any value

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match.

on: value selected
Reproduce any value
In progressTriggered by Researcher5 jobs4 checks
Graph
01Select
02Fetch
03Run
04Compare
05Compare
100%
Timeline
Job0 h1 hTarget
Pick a valueYouinstant
Fetch the replication packReplication serviceinstant
Recompute locallyYouinstant
Digest comparisonYouinstant
Report a differenceYouinstant

End to end on the longest path: about 1 h of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Pick a value
    Select · You · instant
    Page ID or observation key
    Public cut APIProvenance (W3C PROV)
  2. Fetch the replication pack
    Fetch · Replication service · instant
    Inputs by source release · Method version, kernel and seed
    Replication packsProvenance (W3C PROV)
  3. Recompute locally
    Run · You · self-serve
    Same kernel, same seed · Open-source reference implementation
    Open SDKs (Python, R, TypeScript)Tested model kernels
  4. Digest comparison
    Compare · You · instant
    Digest matched or differences listed
    Replication packs
  5. Report a difference
    Compare · You · instant
    Opens a correction with the comparison attached
    Correction log
Artifacts
ArtifactJobWhoStage
Value referencePick a valueYouSelect
Replication packFetch the replication packReplication serviceFetch
Recomputed valueRecompute locallyYouRun
Comparison reportDigest comparisonYouCompare
Correction requestReport a differenceYouCompare
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedTest jobYou are here
Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is an illustration, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03Journeys

Every journey in this solution

NXS-GRX Indices · Test

Reproduce any value

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks

Open the runNXS-GRX · Govern

Become an expert reviewer

Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate

Open the runNXS-GRX · Govern

Offer a dataset

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
04Products

Products and services

OPENMethodology, indicator standard and crosswalksThe full construction method, the indicator definitions, the hazard keys and crosswalks to source code lists and established indices.PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps.OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources.
05Series

Series most read

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access.GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses.GS-11Global BiodiversityEnvironmental pressure, ecosystem condition, nature dependency of economies and the nature–climate–water–food feedbacks.GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems NXS-GRX depends on.GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration.SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security.SR-09Planetary boundariesEarth-system boundaries and tipping elements as slow-onset, high-impact risk.

Start free

The open commons is free to read, cite, build on and reproduce.

Start free

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Pulse signals and outlook probabilities are information for review by competent authorities, never public warnings; official warnings come only from mandated authorities.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.