US$ 17.7 billion117% since 2020
2010min US$ 5.6 billion · max US$ 17.7 billion2025
Higher than 28% of 190 countriesCentral Asia median US$ 49.8 billion
NXS-GRX-TJK · Central Asia · Indices
Tajikistan: twenty domain indices
Fiscal, financial, external, climate, hazard, water, health, food, energy, infrastructure, cyber, governance, conflict, social, demographic, environment, frontier technology, coping capacity, economy and space weather.
Page GRX-TJK-IEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30ISO TJK / TJStatus UN member stateValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
20
شاخصهای حوزهای
4
pillars
443
نشانگر کشوری
90%
intervals
01Domains
Twenty domain indices
| شاخص | مقدار | تغییر | تغییر % | بازهٔ 90% | رده · احتمال | روند | دامنه |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiscal and public debt riskNXS-GRX-TJK · FIS |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Financial stability riskNXS-GRX-TJK · FIN |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
External dependence riskNXS-GRX-TJK · ECO |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Climate physical hazardNXS-GRX-TJK · CLI |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Climate transition exposureNXS-GRX-TJK · CLI |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Multi-hazard exposureNXS-GRX-TJK · HAZ |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Environmental pressureNXS-GRX-TJK · ENV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Water security riskNXS-GRX-TJK · WAT |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Space-weather exposureNXS-GRX-TJK · SPC |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Health security riskNXS-GRX-TJK · HLT |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Food insecurity riskNXS-GRX-TJK · FOO |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Socio-economic vulnerabilityNXS-GRX-TJK · SOC |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Displacement pressureNXS-GRX-TJK · DEM |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Conflict riskNXS-GRX-TJK · CON |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Governance weaknessNXS-GRX-TJK · GOV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Energy security riskNXS-GRX-TJK · ENE |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Infrastructure fragilityNXS-GRX-TJK · INF |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Cyber riskNXS-GRX-TJK · CYB |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Technology concentration riskNXS-GRX-TJK · TEC |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Lack of coping capacityNXS-GRX-TJK · CRS |
– | – | – | – | – |
02مناطق
Profile areas for Tajikistan
Fourteen areas, one at a time: the latest open figures with their trend and where the country stands among others, the tools to run and download them, and every platform, standard and working group across the Nexus institutions that carries the area.
Open data for Tajikistan 644 observations from 52 World Bank series · CC BY 4.0 · source and licence on every rowChoose an area. Figures first; the sources, standards and ways to take part follow.
Area 01 · Partly admitted
Macroeconomy and external position
Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.
US$ 1,63796% since 2020
2010min US$ 737 · max US$ 1,6372025
Higher than 16% of 190 countriesCentral Asia median US$ 3,968
8.4%4 pts since 2020
2010min 4.4% · max 9.4%2025
Higher than 96% of 189 countriesCentral Asia median 7.7%
3.4%5.2 pts since 2020
2010min 3.4% · max 12.4%2025
Higher than 55% of 177 countriesCentral Asia median 8.5%
17.1%of GDP13 pts since 2020
2010min -10.5% · max 17.1%2025
Higher than 97% of 177 countriesCentral Asia median -4%
5.8months of imports30% since 2020
2010min 1.4 · max 8.32025
Higher than 70% of 160 countriesCentral Asia median 6.6
6.9%of labour force0.7 pts since 2020
2010min 6.9% · max 7.7%2025
Higher than 67% of 179 countriesCentral Asia median 4.6%
Source standing
- Admitted
- 4
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 1
14 indicators · 2 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 14 indicators and 2 composites: Gross domestic product, current US dollars; GDP per capita, PPP (ICP 2021); Real GDP growth; Volatility of real GDP growth (10-year); Consumer price inflation; Food price inflation; and 8 more.
- Engines
- Growth-at-Risk, macro VAR and local projections in the model registry. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, fao-faostat-cpi, wb-ids, ilo-ilostatunder legal review: imf-weo, imf-cpi, imf-bop, imf-irfclnot in the register: national-cpi
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 02 · Partly admitted
Fiscal position and public debt
Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.
18.7%of GDP0.9 pts since 2021
2021min 17.1% · max 18.7%2024
Higher than 30% of 141 countriesCentral Asia median 19%
11%of GDP1.4 pts since 2021
2021min 10.7% · max 12.5%2023
Higher than 4% of 141 countriesCentral Asia median 19.9%
37.4%of GNI31 pts since 2019
2010min 37.4% · max 72.7%2024
Higher than 38% of 118 countriesCentral Asia median 60.5%
8.8%of exports11 pts since 2019
2010min 8.8% · max 30.9%2024
Higher than 27% of 116 countriesCentral Asia median 25%
Across the Nexus
Sovereign Capital Nexus · GRA Public Finance and Sovereign Debt · GRA Disaster Risk Finance · Capital Nexus.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 7
- Under legal review
- 13
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 8
37 indicators · 7 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 37 indicators and 7 composites: General government overall balance, share of GDP; General government primary balance, share of GDP; General government structural balance, share of potential GDP; Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g); General government revenue, current US dollars; General government revenue, share of GDP; and 31 more.
- Engines
- Debt fan chart on the SRDSF structure (not an IMF or World Bank DSA), fiscal stress. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, oecd-revenue-statistics, wb-qpsd, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, wb-ids, wb-ppi, wb-country-climate-development-reportsunder legal review: imf-weo, imf-gfs, imf-fiscal-monitor, imf-gdd, imf-dsa, imf-sovereign-investor-base, imf-wb-lic-dsf, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet and 5 morenot in the register: unu-wider-grd, eiti, national-dmo, jpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, cds-vendor:licensed, national-soe-reports, national-fiscal-risk-statements
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 03 · Partly admitted
Financial system
Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.
11.1%of GDP4.1 pts since 2018
2010min 7.6% · max 25%2023
Higher than 0% of 57 countriesCentral Asia median 24.1%
13.7%of loans34 pts since 2016
2010min 5.1% · max 47.6%2021
Higher than 91% of 144 countriesCentral Asia median 7%
20.9%4.5 pts since 2016
2010min 10.8% · max 27.4%2021
Higher than 100% of 144 countriesCentral Asia median 14.4%
23.6%1 pts since 2014
2010min 21.1% · max 29.6%2019
Across the Nexus
Banking Nexus · Asset Management Nexus · GRA Fintech · Capital Nexus Markets · Private Equity Nexus · Institutional Funds Nexus.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 8
32 indicators · 7 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 32 indicators and 7 composites: Regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets; Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assets; Common Equity Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assets; Capital to total assets (leverage); Non-performing loans net of provisions to capital; Non-performing loans to total gross loans; and 26 more.
- Engines
- VaR and expected shortfall, credit risk, DebtRank contagion. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, bis-credit, bis-credit-gap, wb-findex, bis-rpp, oecd-house-prices, wb-gfdd, oecd-insurance and 1 moreunder legal review: imf-fsi, imf-mfs, imf-ifs, imf-gddprohibited: emdatnot in the register: national-supervisor, national-central-bank, fsb-nbfi-monitoring, swiss-re-sigma:licensed, munich-re-natcat:licensed, eiopa-protection-gap, bcbs-climate-disclosure-2025, national-supervisor-credit-register
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 04 · Partly admitted
Trade, economic structure and supply chains
Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.
59.1%of GDP3 pts since 2019
2010min 49.9% · max 83.2%2024
Higher than 31% of 169 countriesCentral Asia median 57.4%
11.2%of GDP3.8 pts since 2019
2010min 9.2% · max 24.2%2024
Higher than 7% of 169 countriesCentral Asia median 22%
8%of merchandise exports0.6 pts since 2018
2014min 4% · max 8%2023
Higher than 65% of 165 countriesCentral Asia median 8.7%
0.5%of GDP0.8 pts since 2020
2010min 0.5% · max 5.5%2025
Higher than 21% of 186 countriesCentral Asia median 1.4%
Across the Nexus
GCRI Trade and Strategic Resources · Food Nexus · GCRI Advanced Industry and Robotics.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 8
- Under legal review
- 6
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 5
18 indicators · 5 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 18 indicators and 5 composites: Trade openness (exports plus imports, share of GDP); International tourism receipts, share of exports; Personal remittances received, share of GDP; Net official development assistance received, share of GNI; Export product concentration (normalised HHI); Export market concentration (normalised HHI); and 12 more.
- Engines
- Leontief input–output, inoperability, supplier concentration. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, wb-knomad, oecd-dac, unctad-stat, un-comtrade, wb-changing-wealth-of-nations, oecd-tiva, unctad-fdiunder legal review: imf-bop, un-tourism, imf-dots, usgs-mineral-commodity-summaries, unctad-eora, imf-portwatchnot in the register: harvard-growth-lab-atlas:licence-check, oec-world:licence-check, iea-critical-minerals, adb-mrio, ais-vessel-tracking:licensed
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 05 · Partly admitted
آب
Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.
65.1%of people3.1 pts since 2019
2010min 48% · max 65.1%2024
Higher than 40% of 137 countriesCentral Asia median 81.9%
69.9%of available freshwater17 pts since 2017
2010min 52.7% · max 71.6%2022
Higher than 86% of 177 countriesCentral Asia median 69.9%
6,232 m³11% since 2017
2010min 6,232 m³ · max 8,293 m³2022
Higher than 67% of 182 countriesCentral Asia median 3,212 m³
Across the Nexus
Water Nexus · GRF Diplomacy · GRF Climate and Nature Governance.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 3
- Under legal review
- 2
- Prohibited
- 2
- Not in the register
- 4
13 indicators · 5 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 13 indicators and 5 composites: Level of water stress; Baseline water stress score (sub-basin); Total renewable freshwater resources per capita; Groundwater storage decline; Water-use efficiency; Population using safely managed drinking water; and 7 more.
- Engines
- Baseline water stress, SPI drought, water balance, shallow-water flooding. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: fao-aquastat, wb-wdi, nasa-grace-founder legal review: un-sdg-database, wri-aqueduct-4prohibited: who-unicef-jmp, who-un-habitat-wastewaternot in the register: igrac-ggis, national-groundwater-monitoring, unep-gems-water, unece-unesco-sdg652
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 06 · Partly admitted
انرژی
Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.
99.9%of people0.5 pts since 2019
2010min 98% · max 100%2024
Higher than 48% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 100%
34.9%of final consumption8.8 pts since 2016
2010min 34.9% · max 61.8%2021
Higher than 64% of 192 countriesCentral Asia median 2%
32%of energy use3.6 pts since 2019
2010min 24.2% · max 32.1%2024
Higher than 53% of 139 countriesCentral Asia median 27.6%
Across the Nexus
Source standing
- Admitted
- 7
- Under legal review
- 5
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 18
23 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 23 indicators and 6 composites: Population with access to electricity; Population relying primarily on clean cooking fuels and technologies; Electricity consumption per capita; Renewable share of total final energy consumption; Primary energy intensity of GDP; Electricity generation-mix concentration; and 17 more.
- Engines
- DC power flow and N-1 screening; an energy-security kernel is still to be built. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, wb-icp, wri-global-power-plant-database, un-comtrade, eurostat-emergency-oil-stocks, wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-b-readyunder legal review: un-energy-statistics-database, imf-bop, us-eia-861, copernicus-era5, usgs-mineral-commodity-summariesprohibited: who-household-energy-databasenot in the register: iea-sdg7-tracking, national-household-surveys, iea-world-energy-balances, irena-renewable-energy-statistics, iea-electricity-information, ember-global-electricity-review, irena-renewable-capacity-statistics, iea-oil-information and 10 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 07 · Partly admitted
Food systems
Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.
8%of people3 pts since 2019
2010min 8% · max 24.5%2024
Higher than 62% of 165 countriesCentral Asia median 4.1%
4,124kg per hectare13% since 2019
2010min 2,519 · max 4,1242024
Higher than 67% of 176 countriesCentral Asia median 3,489
13.7%of children3.8 pts since 2017
2012min 13.7% · max 26.9%2023
Higher than 41% of 92 countriesCentral Asia median 10.4%
23.1%of GDP2.2 pts since 2019
2010min 19.6% · max 23.8%2024
Higher than 86% of 185 countriesCentral Asia median 12.4%
Across the Nexus
Food Nexus · GCRI Biotechnology and Biosecurity · GRF Climate and Nature Governance.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 14
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 2
23 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 23 indicators and 6 composites: Prevalence of undernourishment; Number of people undernourished; Average dietary energy supply adequacy; Per capita food supply variability; Cereal import dependency ratio; Moderate or severe food insecurity (FIES); and 17 more.
- Engines
- Food energy gap, price anomaly, threshold evidence. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: fao-faostat-fs, fao-sofi, wb-wdi, fao-fies, wb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-giews-fpma, fao-faostat-cpi, ilo-ilostat and 6 moreunder legal review: ipc-API, ipc-famine-review-committee, un-national-accounts, noaa-star-vhpnot in the register: cadre-harmonise, fsin-grfc
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 08 · Partly admitted
امنیت سلامت
Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.
71.9 years1.4% since 2019
2010min 68.4 years · max 71.9 years2024
Higher than 40% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 72.4 years
28.1per 1,000 births7.6% since 2019
2010min 28.1 · max 37.62024
Higher than 69% of 193 countriesCentral Asia median 16.8
7.4%of GDP0.4 pts since 2018
2010min 5.7% · max 8.9%2023
Higher than 61% of 193 countriesCentral Asia median 5.5%
1.87per 1,000 people3.1% since 2018
2010min 1.67 · max 22023
Higher than 52% of 180 countriesCentral Asia median 1.93
Across the Nexus
Health Nexus · GCRI Biotechnology and Biosecurity · Health Nexus and Biosecurity Governance · Insurance Nexus.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 4
- Under legal review
- 2
- Prohibited
- 15
- Not in the register
- 8
31 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 31 indicators and 6 composites: Under-five mortality rate; Neonatal mortality rate; Maternal mortality ratio; Life expectancy at birth; Premature mortality from major non-communicable diseases; Tuberculosis incidence; and 25 more.
- Engines
- SEIR, Rt estimation, outbreak detection. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, un-wpp, oecd-health, wb-hnp-statsunder legal review: un-igme, un-mmeigprohibited: who-gho, who-ghe, who-global-tb-programme, who-world-malaria-report, who-nhwa, who-wb-financial-protection, who-ghed, who-unicef-wuenic and 7 morenot in the register: unaids, household-surveys, unicef-who-joint-database, map-accessibility-to-healthcare, openstreetmap, africa-cdc-epidemic-intelligence, unicef-who-wb-jme, smart-surveys
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 09 · Partly admitted
Environment and biodiversity
Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.
3.1%of land0 pts since 2019
2010min 2.9% · max 3.1%2024
Higher than 12% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 5%
22.6%of territory0.3 pts since 2020
2013min 19.7% · max 22.6%2025
Higher than 77% of 193 countriesCentral Asia median 11.8%
33.4 µg/m³0.1% since 2018
2010min 27.2 µg/m³ · max 34.8 µg/m³2023
Higher than 81% of 193 countriesCentral Asia median 31.3 µg/m³
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 5
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 22
22 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 22 indicators and 6 composites: PM2.5 exposure, population-weighted mean; Population exposed above the WHO PM2.5 guideline, share; Seasonal peak ozone exposure; Land area; Forest area, share of land area; Annual tree cover loss rate; and 16 more.
- Engines
- Nature pressure-overlap screening. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-wdi, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop, fao-faostat-land-use, geoboundaries, fao-fra, fao-fisheries-sofia, wb-what-a-waste, oecd-global-plastics-outlook and 1 moreunder legal review: copernicus-cams, un-sdg-database, copernicus-marine, noaa-oisst, un-habitat-waste-wise-citiesprohibited: who-ambient-air-quality-databasenot in the register: acag-satellite-pm25, state-of-global-air, toar, gfw-umd-tree-cover-loss, unccd-prais, trends-earth, openstreetmap, grip-global-roads and 14 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 10 · Partly admitted
Climate: physical and transition
Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.
0.9 t CO₂e3.2% since 2019
2010min 0.4 t CO₂e · max 1 t CO₂e2024
Higher than 30% of 186 countriesCentral Asia median 4.1 t CO₂e
22.2 Mt CO₂e8.7% since 2019
2010min 11.8 Mt CO₂e · max 22.2 Mt CO₂e2024
Higher than 38% of 186 countriesCentral Asia median 114.8 Mt CO₂e
0%of people
2015min 0% · max 0%2015
Higher than 19% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 0%
Source standing
- Admitted
- 10
- Under legal review
- 7
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 24
31 indicators · 8 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 31 indicators and 8 composites: Surface warming since pre-industrial; Change in annual precipitation; Relative sea-level rise rate; Hottest day of the year (TXx); Share of warm days (TX90p); Change in very hot days (35 °C or more); and 25 more.
- Engines
- Return-period shift, bias correction, ensembles, sea level, climate-adjusted default risk. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: fao-faostat-temperature-change, wb-cckp, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop, wb-wdi, wb-changing-wealth-of-nations, un-comtrade, oecd-fossil-fuel-support, ngfs-scenarios and 2 moreunder legal review: copernicus-era5, noaa-globaltemp, copernicus-sea-level, nasa-sea-level-change, nasa-sea-level-projection-tool, imf-fossil-fuel-subsidies, wb-wginot in the register: berkeley-earth, gpcc, cru-ts, psmsl, hadex3, national-met-services, gpcc-full-data-daily, entity-disclosures and 16 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 11 · Partly admitted
Conflict, governance and security
Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.
0.9per 100,000 people45% since 2011
2010min 0.9 · max 2.42020
Higher than 24% of 140 countriesCentral Asia median 1.6
Across the Nexus
GCRI Registry · GCRI Campaigns · GCRI Agency · GRF Diplomacy · Governance Nexus · GRF Information Integrity and Public Trust.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 14
39 indicators · 10 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 39 indicators and 10 composites: Reported fatalities from organised political violence; Conflict fatalities per 100,000 population; Battle-related deaths (UCDP); Political violence events; Armed conflict events; Geographic diffusion of conflict; and 33 more.
- Engines
- Conflict kernels in the model registry. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: ucdp-ged, ucdp-battle-related-deaths, wb-wdi, oecd-states-of-fragility, wb-fcs-list, wb-cpia, wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-spi and 1 moreunder legal review: acled, wb-wgi, imf-isora, unsd-census-programmeprohibited: who-surveillance-system-attacks-health-carenot in the register: ghsl-pop, unodc-homicide, sipri-milex, iiss-military-balance, insecurity-insight, landmine-monitor, unmas, iep-global-peace-index and 6 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 12 · Partly admitted
Frontier technology and innovation
Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.
0.09%of GDP0 pts since 2015
2010min 0.09% · max 0.12%2020
Higher than 10% of 112 countriesCentral Asia median 0.09%
15.2%of manufactured exports11 pts since 2018
2016min 0.4% · max 33.8%2023
Higher than 73% of 164 countriesCentral Asia median 12.9%
55.8%of people33 pts since 2019
2010min 11.6% · max 55.8%2024
Higher than 24% of 185 countriesCentral Asia median 90.8%
1per 100 people1,300% since 2017
2010min 0.1 · max 12023
Higher than 20% of 193 countriesCentral Asia median 7.8
150% since 2013
2010min 1 · max 72019
Higher than 9% of 138 countriesCentral Asia median 287
158178% since 2018
2010min 40 · max 1582023
Higher than 33% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 327
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 5
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 26
27 indicators · 10 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 27 indicators and 10 composites: Severe geomagnetic storm days per year; Geoelectric field amplitude at 100-year return period; Strong solar radiation storm days per year; GDP in GNSS-dependent activities, share; Critical services relying on satellites without backup, share; High-voltage grid in high geoelectric hazard zones, share; and 21 more.
- Engines
- Technology series XT-01 to XT-20; the innovation index is planned. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: first-member-directory, unctad-global-cyberlaw-tracker, oecd-stan, unctad-digital-economy, un-desa-egovernment-survey, oecd-msti, wb-wdi, un-comtrade and 1 moreunder legal review: noaa-swpc, usgs-geoelectric-hazard, osm-power-grid, eu-nis2-incident-reporting, un-national-accounts-main-aggregatesprohibited: who-jee-reportsnot in the register: gfz-kp-index, bgs-geoelectric-models, nexus-gic-model, goes-energetic-particles, nexus-gnss-dependence-model, national-accounts-value-added, euspa-market-report, nexus-expert-assessment and 18 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 13 · Partly admitted
Coping capacity and disaster finance
Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.
34.1%of people
2011min 34.1% · max 34.1%2011
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 1
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 18
18 indicators · 5 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 18 indicators and 5 composites: National DRR strategy aligned with the Sendai Framework; Local governments with DRR strategies aligned to the national strategy; Multi-hazard early warning system score; Multi-hazard monitoring and forecasting systems; People covered by early warning information; Local governments with a plan to act on early warnings; and 12 more.
- Engines
- Capability readiness ladder; disaster-finance readiness dossier. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis, wb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, wb-projects-database, wb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, oecd-global-insurance-statistics, worldpop, oecd-crs-drr-marker and 1 moreunder legal review: undrr-sendai-framework-monitorprohibited: emdatnot in the register: mcr2030-resilience-roadmap, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments, national-civil-protection-reports, national-finance-ministry-publications, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports and 10 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 14 · Partly admitted
Society, demography and mobility
Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.
10.8 million11% since 2020
2010min 7.7 million · max 10.8 million2025
Higher than 54% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 10.8 million
26.2%of people0 pts since 2020
2010min 26.1% · max 26.6%2025
Higher than 7% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 47.1%
6.1%of people7.2 pts since 2015
2015min 6.1% · max 13.3%2024
Higher than 74% of 115 countriesCentral Asia median 2.3%
36.1index 0–1002.1 pts since 2015
2015min 32.4 · max 39.52024
Higher than 62% of 115 countriesCentral Asia median 31
4.1%of people0.8 pts since 2020
2010min 3% · max 4.1%2025
Higher than 27% of 194 countriesCentral Asia median 6%
Source standing
- Admitted
- 11
- Under legal review
- 1
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 12
46 indicators · 11 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement. For Tajikistan, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- شاخصها
- 46 indicators and 11 composites: Extreme poverty headcount, USD 3.00 a day (2021 PPP); Poverty headcount, USD 4.20 a day (2021 PPP); Poverty headcount, USD 8.30 a day (2021 PPP); Poverty headcount at the national poverty line; Multidimensional poverty headcount (global MPI); Gini index; and 40 more.
- Engines
- Social and demographic composites (Indicator Standard). Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- منابع
- admitted: wb-pip, wb-wdi, wb-learning-poverty, ilo-ilostat, ilo-world-social-protection-database, wb-aspire, un-wpp, worldpop and 3 moreunder legal review: un-habitat-urban-indicatorsnot in the register: national-statistical-offices, undp-ophi-global-mpi, undp-hdr, unesco-uis, barro-lee, ipu-parline, unicef-mics, national-census and 4 more
- وضعیت
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
03نوآوری
The innovation index (planned)
Capacity, not only risk: research, patents, talent, compute, digital infrastructure and capital for Tajikistan. These indicators are not in Indicator Standard yet; each needs its source admitted before it appears.
- R&D expenditure, share of GDP
- unesco-uis · not in the register
- Researchers per million people
- unesco-uis · not in the register
- Patent applications by residents
- wipo · not in the register
- صادرات فناوری پیشرفته، سهم از صادرات کالاهای ساختهشده
- un-comtrade · admitted
- Fixed and mobile broadband subscriptions
- itu · not in the register
- Data-centre and compute capacity
- national-registers · not in the register
- Venture capital investment, share of GDP
- oecd · admitted
- AI adoption in firms and government
- oecd · admitted
- STEM graduates, share of graduates
- unesco-uis · not in the register
- توسعهٔ دولت الکترونیک
- un · under legal review
- Scientific publications and citations
- openalex · under legal review
- Critical-minerals processing capacity
- national-registers · not in the register
04ارکان
How the domains combine
HTE
مواجهه با مخاطره و تهدید
5 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
روش
VULآسیبپذیری انسانی و سامانهای
8 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
روش
MSFشکنندگی کلانمالی و ساختاری
5 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
روش
LCCکمبود ظرفیت مقابله و سازگاری
2 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
روش
05جهانی
Each index across all countries
- FISشاخص ریسک مالی عمومی و بدهی عمومی
- FINشاخص ریسک ثبات مالی
- ECOشاخص ریسک وابستگی خارجی
- CLIشاخص مخاطرهٔ فیزیکی اقلیمی
- CLIشاخص مواجهه با گذار اقلیمی
- HAZشاخص مواجههٔ چندمخاطرهای
- ENVشاخص فشار زیستمحیطی
- WATشاخص ریسک امنیت آب
- SPCشاخص مواجهه با آبوهوای فضایی
- HLTشاخص ریسک امنیت سلامت
- FOOشاخص ریسک ناامنی غذایی
- SOCشاخص آسیبپذیری اجتماعیاقتصادی
- DEMشاخص فشار جابهجایی
- CONشاخص ریسک منازعه
- GOVشاخص ضعف حکمرانی
- ENEشاخص ریسک امنیت انرژی
- INFشاخص شکنندگی زیرساخت
- CYBشاخص ریسک سایبری
- TECشاخص ریسک تمرکز فناوری
- CRSشاخص کمبود ظرفیت مقابله
وضعیت
روششناسی، ساختار و تعاریف The Global Risks Index پیشنویس کاری مقدماتی (2026) است که برای بررسی و اظهارنظر منتشر شده و برای اجرا نیست. هیچ مقداری نمایش داده نمیشود تا ویراستی از یک برش شواهد تحت حکمرانی منتشر شود؛ آنگاه مقادیر همراه با بازهها، ردهها، منابع و مسیر اصلاح خود ارائه میشوند. شبیهسازها روشهای منتشرشده را بر روی اعدادی که شما برمیگزینید اجرا میکنند و هرگز مقداری از NXS-GRX نشان نمیدهند.
نمایهٔ کشوری شواهد عمومی دربارهٔ یک مکان را میخواند. این نمایه بیانیهای از سوی هیچ دولتی یا دربارهٔ سیاست آن نیست، هیچ موضعی دربارهٔ وضعیت هیچ سرزمینی ندارد و به معنای وجود برنامهٔ ملی یا مشارکت نیست. نامها از UN M49 پیروی میکنند.
آنچه NXS-GRX نیست
NXS-GRX اطلاعات پژوهشی و تحلیلی ریسک است. رتبهبندی اعتباری یا ESG نیست و از هیچ مقیاس رتبهبندی استفاده نمیکند، شاخص مرجع ابزارهای مالی نیست، آمار رسمی نیست، هشدار اضطراری یا طبقهبندی رسمی نیست و توصیه نیست. نباید برای ارزیابی اشخاص حقیقی به کار رود. طبقههای ریسک بازههایی روی یک مقیاس منتشرشدهاند، هرگز رتبهبندی کشورها یا افراد نیستند.
سیگنالهای Pulse و احتمالهای چشمانداز اطلاعاتی برای بررسی مقامهای صلاحیتدارند، هرگز هشدار عمومی نیستند؛ هشدارهای رسمی تنها از سوی مقامهای دارای مأموریت صادر میشوند.
نهادها و منابع
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
هر مقدار انتساب منابع خود را در بر دارد و آن منابع پروانههای خود را حفظ میکنند. نامهای بیرونی تنها برای میانکنشپذیری ذکر میشوند. متون نگاشتهٔ Nexus برای انتشار با پروانهٔ CC BY 4.0 در نظر گرفته شدهاند.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.