Compose a risk intelligence product with the risk engine
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and claim ceiling.
- Resolve contextinstant
- Purpose and rights checkautomatic
- Discover capabilitiesinstant
- Route by quality of intelligenceinstant
- Compile the DAG planinstant
- Run governed scienceoperational
- Compose across domainsinstant
- Evidence and assurance gateautomatic
- Project the productinstant
- Lineage and correctioncontinuous
Compose a risk intelligence product with the risk engine
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and claim ceiling.
End to end on the longest path: about 1.1 h of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.
- Resolve contextContext · Risk engine · instantPlace, time, asset or portfolio resolved to UNIs · Purpose and tenant scope bound to the request · Source assertions kept, never merged silentlyRisk engineNS-1 UNI catalogue
- Purpose and rights check approvalContext · Identity and policy authority · automaticIdentity and purpose verified · Rights, sovereignty and disclosure policy applied · Refusal is typed, never silentFoundryLicence register
- Discover capabilitiesPlan · Risk engine · instantCapabilities found by stable ID and version, never by title · Implementation and release state read per capability · Held capabilities excludedRisk engineTested model kernels
- Route by quality of intelligencePlan · Risk engine · instantPaths scored on latency class and scientific assurance · Fastest path that meets the assurance asked for · Trade-off recordedRisk engine
- Compile the DAG planPlan · Risk engine · instantDependencies ordered topologically · Cycles refused · Plan versioned and hashedRisk engineNXS-GRX run service
- Run governed science matrix ·Run · NXS-GRX run service · operationalEach node runs on its bound kernel · Seeds, inputs and versions recorded · Failures stay failuresNXS-GRX run serviceTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
- Compose across domainsRun · Risk engine · instantProducts joined on the risk product graph · Weakest assurance carried forward · Every upstream evidence reference keptRisk engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
- Evidence and assurance gateCheck · Risk engine · automaticClaim ceiling never raised above its inputs · Missing evidence fails closed as INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE · High-reliance projections need complete evidenceVerification engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
- Project the productDeliver · Risk engine · instantScalar, table, series, distribution, features, network or evidence pack · Agent-context, feature-vector and compact forms · Each projection carries its UNI and lineageRisk enginePublic cut APIVector tiles
- Lineage and correctionDeliver · Risk engine · continuousDerivation and composition edges recorded · A superseded input marks every dependent product SUPERSEDED · Stale intelligence never stays currentCorrection logPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
| Artifact | Job | Who | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved context | Resolve context | Risk engine | Context |
| Policy decision | Purpose and rights check | Identity and policy authority | Context |
| Capability set | Discover capabilities | Risk engine | Plan |
| Route decision | Route by quality of intelligence | Risk engine | Plan |
| Execution plan | Compile the DAG plan | Risk engine | Plan |
| Upstream products | Run governed science | NXS-GRX run service | Run |
| Composite product | Compose across domains | Risk engine | Run |
| Assurance record | Evidence and assurance gate | Risk engine | Check |
| Projection | Project the product | Risk engine | Deliver |
| Lineage graph | Lineage and correction | Risk engine | Deliver |
| Correction notices | Lineage and correction | Risk engine | Deliver |
Solutions that use this journey
13 components
Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artifacts.
Part of NXS-GRX Intelligence: Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.
Status
The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.
What NXS-GRX is not
NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.
Institutions and sources
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.