Foundry
The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · Methods · 56 capabilities

Cyber, AI and frontier technology

Methods for cyber, ai, frontier-tech on the python and rust and julia compute planes.

CapabilitiesAll methods
Page GRX-MTH-CAFTEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
56
capabilities
6
kernel-bound
5
method families
4
standards
01Capabilities

56 capabilities

6 of 56 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.

MethodCapability IDStateRuns on
Cyber Attack Surfacerisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cyber.attack.surface.v1Adapter required—
Exploitabilityrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.exploitability.v1Adapter required—
Threat Likelihoodrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.threat.likelihood.v1Adapter required—
Cyber Asset Criticalityrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cyber.asset.criticality.v1Adapter required—
Intrusion Propagationrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.intrusion.propagation.v1Adapter required—
Ransomware Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ransomware.risk.v1Adapter required—
Identity Compromiserisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.identity.compromise.v1Adapter required—
Cloud Configuration Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cloud.configuration.risk.v1Adapter required—
Cyber Supply Chainrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cyber.supply.chain.v1Adapter required—
Zero Day Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.zero.day.risk.v1Adapter required—
Operational Technology Cyberrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.operational.technology.cyber.v1Adapter required—
Cyber Physical Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cyber.physical.risk.v1Adapter required—
Attack Graphrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.attack.graph.v1Adapter requiredpython · cyber.attack_graph
Blast Radiusrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.blast.radius.v1Adapter required—
Cyber Recoveryrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cyber.recovery.v1Adapter required—
Cyber Loss Quantificationrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cyber.loss.quantification.v1Adapter requiredpython · cyber.fair_monte_carlo
Data Loss Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.data.loss.risk.v1Adapter required—
Systemic Cyber Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.systemic.cyber.risk.v1Adapter requiredpython · cyber.accumulation_scenario
Cloud Concentration Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.cloud.concentration.risk.v1Adapter requiredpython · cyber.accumulation_scenario
AI Model Reliabilityrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.model.reliability.v1Adapter requiredpython · ai.reliability_calibration
AI Calibrationrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.calibration.v1Adapter requiredpython · ai.reliability_calibration
AI Hallucination Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.hallucination.risk.v1Adapter required—
AI Robustnessrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.robustness.v1Adapter required—
AI Adversarial Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.adversarial.risk.v1Adapter required—
AI Distribution Shiftrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.distribution.shift.v1Adapter required—
AI Fairnessrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.fairness.v1Adapter required—
AI Privacy Leakagerisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.privacy.leakage.v1Adapter required—
Model Inversionrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.model.inversion.v1Adapter required—
Prompt Injectionrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.prompt.injection.v1Adapter required—
AI Tool Use Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.tool.use.risk.v1Adapter required—
Agent Action Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.agent.action.risk.v1Adapter required—
Agent Cascade Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.agent.cascade.risk.v1Adapter required—
AI Autonomy Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.autonomy.risk.v1Adapter required—
Model Dependencyrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.model.dependency.v1Adapter required—
AI Supply Chainrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.supply.chain.v1Adapter required—
Foundation Model Concentrationrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.foundation.model.concentration.v1Adapter required—
Compute Dependencyrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.compute.dependency.v1Adapter required—
Catastrophic Misuse Scenariorisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.catastrophic.misuse.scenario.v1Adapter required—
AI Assurancerisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.assurance.v1Adapter required—
Quantum Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.quantum.risk.v1Adapter required—
Synthetic Biology Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.synthetic.biology.risk.v1Adapter required—
Gene Editing Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.gene.editing.risk.v1Adapter required—
Advanced Materials Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.advanced.materials.risk.v1Adapter required—
Robotics Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.robotics.risk.v1Adapter required—
Autonomous Systems Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.autonomous.systems.risk.v1Adapter required—
Drone Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.drone.risk.v1Adapter required—
Space Systems Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.space.systems.risk.v1Adapter required—
Satellite Constellation Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.satellite.constellation.risk.v1Adapter required—
Nuclear Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.nuclear.risk.v1Adapter required—
Fusion Technology Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.fusion.technology.risk.v1Adapter required—
Nanotechnology Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.nanotechnology.risk.v1Adapter required—
Neurotechnology Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.neurotechnology.risk.v1Adapter required—
DLT Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.dlt.risk.v1Adapter required—
DePIN Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.depin.risk.v1Adapter required—
AI RAN Telecom Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.ai.ran.telecom.risk.v1Adapter required—
Semiconductor Supply Riskrisk.capability.cyber-ai-frontier-tech.semiconductor.supply.risk.v1Adapter required—
02Scope

Methods, data and supports

Method families
network science, bayesian inference, change detection, scenario ensemble, vvuq
Domains
cyber, ai, frontier-tech
Compute planes
python, rust, julia
Source classes
security-telemetry, vulnerability, model-evaluation, supply-chain, runtime-evidence
Spatial supports
asset, network, system
Temporal supports
event, continuous, scenario
Adapter required56
03Standards

Standards that govern this fabric

NRS-M19NRS-T0NRS-T1NRS-X6

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.

Contribute

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.