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The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · Methods · 17 capabilities

Policy, regulation and governance

Methods for policy, regulation, governance on the python and julia compute planes.

CapabilitiesAll methods
Page GRX-MTH-PRGEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
17
capabilities
1
kernel-bound
4
method families
5
standards
01Capabilities

17 capabilities

1 of 17 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.

MethodCapability IDStateRuns on
Scenario Counterfactualrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.scenario.counterfactual.v1Connectedengine.grix.risk.scenario.counterfactual.v1
Regulatory Change Riskrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.regulatory.change.risk.v1Adapter required—
Policy Uncertaintyrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.policy.uncertainty.v1Adapter required—
Policy Effectivenessrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.policy.effectiveness.v1Adapter required—
Implementation Gaprisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.implementation.gap.v1Adapter required—
Regulatory Exposurerisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.regulatory.exposure.v1Adapter required—
Compliance Obligation Mappingrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.compliance.obligation.mapping.v1Adapter required—
Policy Conflictrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.policy.conflict.v1Adapter required—
Treaty Obligation Exposurerisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.treaty.obligation.exposure.v1Adapter required—
Sanctions Regulatory Restrictionrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.sanctions.regulatory.restriction.v1Adapter required—
Legal Change Scenariorisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.legal.change.scenario.v1Adapter required—
Institutional Mandate Riskrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.institutional.mandate.risk.v1Adapter required—
Procurement Riskrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.procurement.risk.v1Adapter required—
Public Investment Governancerisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.public.investment.governance.v1Adapter required—
Policy Counterfactualrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.policy.counterfactual.v1Adapter required—
Distributional Impactrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.distributional.impact.v1Adapter required—
Policy Robustnessrisk.capability.policy-regulation-governance.policy.robustness.v1Adapter required—
02Scope

Methods, data and supports

Method families
causal inference, decision analysis, scenario ensemble, robust statistics
Domains
policy, regulation, governance
Compute planes
python, julia
Source classes
law, policy, regulation, institutional-record, programme-data
Spatial supports
jurisdiction, institution
Temporal supports
effective-time, scenario
Connected1
Adapter required16
03Standards

Standards that govern this fabric

NRS-M12NRS-P1NRS-P2NRS-P5NRS-P9

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.

Contribute

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.