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The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · Methods · 18 capabilities

Consequence and loss

Methods for consequence, loss on the julia and python and r compute planes.

CapabilitiesAll methods
Page GRX-MTH-CLEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
18
capabilities
6
kernel-bound
4
method families
2
standards
01Capabilities

18 capabilities

6 of 18 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.

MethodCapability IDStateRuns on
Direct Physical Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.direct.physical.loss.v1Adapter requiredpython · loss.direct_physical
Indirect Economic Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.indirect.economic.loss.v1Adapter required—
Downtimerisk.capability.consequence-loss.downtime.v1Adapter requiredpython · infrastructure.restoration_schedule
Service Continuityrisk.capability.consequence-loss.service.continuity.v1Connectedengine.grix.risk.consequence.service.continuity.v1
Casualtyrisk.capability.consequence-loss.casualty.v1Adapter required—
Displacementrisk.capability.consequence-loss.displacement.v1Adapter required—
Business Interruptionrisk.capability.consequence-loss.business.interruption.v1Adapter requiredpython · loss.business_interruption
Supply Shortagerisk.capability.consequence-loss.supply.shortage.v1Adapter required—
Environmental Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.environmental.loss.v1Adapter required—
Health Burdenrisk.capability.consequence-loss.health.burden.v1Adapter required—
Fiscal Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.fiscal.loss.v1Adapter required—
Development Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.development.loss.v1Adapter required—
Humanitarian Needrisk.capability.consequence-loss.humanitarian.need.v1Adapter required—
Insurance Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.insurance.loss.v1Adapter required—
Recovery Costrisk.capability.consequence-loss.recovery.cost.v1Adapter required—
Reconstruction Inflationrisk.capability.consequence-loss.reconstruction.inflation.v1Adapter required—
Cascading Consequencerisk.capability.consequence-loss.cascading.consequence.v1Adapter requiredpython · infrastructure.interdependent_cascade
Compound Lossrisk.capability.consequence-loss.compound.loss.v1Adapter requiredpython · catastrophe.compound_loss
02Scope

Methods, data and supports

Method families
monte carlo, survival reliability, system dynamics, bayesian inference
Domains
consequence, loss
Compute planes
julia, python, r
Source classes
exposure, damage, economic, health, service, insurance
Spatial supports
object, region, network, portfolio
Temporal supports
event, annual, recovery
Connected1
Adapter required17
03Standards

Standards that govern this fabric

NRS-C15NRS-M5

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.

Contribute

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.