Foundry
The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · Methods · 37 capabilities

Hazard science

Methods for hazard, climate, disaster-risk on the julia and python compute planes.

CapabilitiesAll methods
Page GRX-MTH-HSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
37
capabilities
7
kernel-bound
6
method families
3
standards
01Capabilities

37 capabilities

7 of 37 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.

MethodCapability IDStateRuns on
Hazard Intensity Footprint Screeningrisk.capability.hazard-science.hazard.intensity.footprint.screening.v1Connectedengine.grix.risk.hazard.intensity.footprint.v1
Earthquake Hazardrisk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.hazard.v1Specialist model requiredpython · earthquake.psha_logic_tree
Earthquake Ground Motionrisk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.ground.motion.v1Specialist model requiredpython · earthquake.gmpe_logic_tree
Earthquake Rupturerisk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.rupture.v1Specialist model required—
Liquefactionrisk.capability.hazard-science.liquefaction.v1Specialist model required—
Landsliderisk.capability.hazard-science.landslide.v1Specialist model required—
Tsunamirisk.capability.hazard-science.tsunami.v1Specialist model required—
River Floodrisk.capability.hazard-science.river.flood.v1Specialist model required—
Pluvial Floodrisk.capability.hazard-science.pluvial.flood.v1Specialist model required—
Coastal Floodrisk.capability.hazard-science.coastal.flood.v1Specialist model required—
Tropical Cyclonerisk.capability.hazard-science.tropical.cyclone.v1Specialist model required—
Extratropical Stormrisk.capability.hazard-science.extratropical.storm.v1Specialist model required—
Tornado and Convective Stormrisk.capability.hazard-science.tornado.and.convective.storm.v1Specialist model required—
Hailrisk.capability.hazard-science.hail.v1Specialist model required—
Wildfire Ignitionrisk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.ignition.v1Specialist model required—
Wildfire Spreadrisk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.spread.v1Specialist model required—
Wildfire Smokerisk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.smoke.v1Specialist model required—
Droughtrisk.capability.hazard-science.drought.v1Specialist model requiredpython · water.standardized_precipitation_index
Heatrisk.capability.hazard-science.heat.v1Specialist model required—
Coldrisk.capability.hazard-science.cold.v1Specialist model required—
Snow and Icerisk.capability.hazard-science.snow.and.ice.v1Specialist model required—
Avalancherisk.capability.hazard-science.avalanche.v1Specialist model required—
Volcanorisk.capability.hazard-science.volcano.v1Specialist model required—
Subsidencerisk.capability.hazard-science.subsidence.v1Specialist model required—
Permafrostrisk.capability.hazard-science.permafrost.v1Specialist model required—
Geomagnetic Stormrisk.capability.hazard-science.geomagnetic.storm.v1Specialist model required—
Meteor and Asteroidrisk.capability.hazard-science.meteor.and.asteroid.v1Specialist model required—
Historical Climate Baselinerisk.capability.hazard-science.historical.climate.baseline.v1Specialist model required—
Bias Correction and Downscalingrisk.capability.hazard-science.bias.correction.and.downscaling.v1Specialist model requiredpython · climate.empirical_quantile_mapping
CMIP Scenario Ensemblerisk.capability.hazard-science.cmip.scenario.ensemble.v1Specialist model requiredpython · climate.multi_model_ensemble_summary
Compound Eventrisk.capability.hazard-science.compound.event.v1Specialist model required—
Nonstationary Extreme Valuerisk.capability.hazard-science.nonstationary.extreme.value.v1Specialist model required—
Sea Level Riserisk.capability.hazard-science.sea.level.rise.v1Specialist model requiredpython · climate.sea_level_ensemble
Climate Attributionrisk.capability.hazard-science.climate.attribution.v1Specialist model required—
Climate Stress Testrisk.capability.hazard-science.climate.stress.test.v1Specialist model required—
Tipping Point Scenariorisk.capability.hazard-science.tipping.point.scenario.v1Specialist model required—
Transition Risk Scenariorisk.capability.hazard-science.transition.risk.scenario.v1Specialist model required—
02Scope

Methods, data and supports

Method families
extreme value, scientific simulation, stochastic process, spatial statistics, geostatistics, scenario ensemble
Domains
hazard, climate, disaster-risk
Compute planes
julia, python
Source classes
eo, meteorology, geophysics, hydrology, terrain, sensor, climate-model
Spatial supports
point, footprint, grid, raster, mesh, basin, coast
Temporal supports
event, series, forecast, scenario
Connected1
Specialist model required36
03Standards

Standards that govern this fabric

NRS-C3NRS-M2NRS-X2

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.

Contribute

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.