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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · XT-08 · Exponential technology series

İnsansız hava araçları, robotik ve otonom sistemler

Lojistik, tarım, sanayi ve güvenlikte otonom ve robotik sistemler: arıza, kötüye kullanım ve güvenlik gözetimi.

İnşaat Göstergeler
Page GRX-SER-XT-08Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports XT-08 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Alan endeksleri

3

Conflict risk · Infrastructure fragility · Technology concentration risk.

Göstergeler

81

3 index domains

Hazard families

29

Frontier and exponential technology · Built systems

Yöntemler

56

Siber, yapay zekâ ve öncü teknoloji

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
3
alan endeksleri
81
indicators in scope
2
tehlike alanları
4
client groups

01Kapsam

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Where are autonomous systems entering safety-critical roles?
  2. What oversight exists for their failure modes?
  3. How could misuse create new hazards?
02İnşaat

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Drones, robotics and autonomous systems index is built

Graph7 nodes
Grafik
01Alan endeksleri
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Dizin
  1. Çatışma riski

    Domain index · IDX · CON
    Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation, on 0 to 10, of conflict intensity, civilian harm, societal insecurity and external fragility assessments.
  2. Altyapı kırılganlığı

    Domain index · IDX · INF
    Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
  3. Teknoloji yoğunlaşması riski

    Domain index · IDX · TEC
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  4. Drones, robotics and autonomous systems index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-08
    Lojistik, tarım, sanayi ve güvenlikte otonom ve robotik sistemler: arıza, kötüye kullanım ve güvenlik gözetimi.
  5. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  6. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  7. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
ÇalıştırılmadıSürüyorTamamlandı
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Endeksler

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-08 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Drones, robotics and autonomous systems index, world
–
Değerler baskıyla yayımlanır; aralık, sınıf ve değişim burada görünür.
Endeks Değer Değişim Değişim % %90 aralık Sınıf · olasılık Eğilim Aralık
Çatışma riskiNXS-GRX · CON – – – – –
Altyapı kırılganlığıNXS-GRX · INF – – – – –
Teknoloji yoğunlaşması riskiNXS-GRX · TEC – – – – –

Domains read: Technology and frontier, Infrastructure, Conflict and security.

04Göstergeler

81 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
INF · 24CON · 19TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Gösterge Alan Sub-domain Bileşen Birim Düzeyler Crosswalks
Kritik minerallerde net ithalat bağımlılığıIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Deniz dar geçitlerine maruz deniz yolu ticaretiIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Taşkın koruma tasarım standardıIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood başa çıkma kapasitesi a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Yapılaşmış yüzey alanıIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area HAZ Maruziyet context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki yapılaşmış alanIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed HAZ Maruziyet maruziyet km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yol yoğunluğuIND.ENV.land.road_density ENV Land and forests hazard km/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Kontrollü tesislerde yönetilen belediye katı atığıIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share ENV Pollution and waste başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
Güvenli biçimde arıtılan atık su akışlarıIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
Dış kaynaklı yenilenebilir suya bağımlılık oranıIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY
GNSS'ye bağımlı faaliyetlerdeki GSYH, payIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Yedeği olmadan uydulara dayanan kritik hizmetler, payIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek jeoelektrik tehlike bölgelerindeki yüksek gerilim şebekesi, payIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1
En yakın sağlık tesisine ulaşım süresiIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Ne istihdamda ne eğitimde olan gençlerIND.SOC.protection.youth_neet SOC Sosyal koruma vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT
Kentsel nüfus, toplamın payıIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share DEM Urbanisation context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
Kentsel nüfus artışıIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
Gecekondu bölgelerinde yaşayan kentsel nüfusIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
Menşe ülkeye göre mültecilerIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
Menşe ülkeye göre mülteciler, 100.000 kişi başınaIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY SDG 10.7.4
Ülke içinde yerinden edilmiş kişiler, çatışma ve şiddet (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
Ülke içinde yerinden edilmiş kişiler, 100.000 kişi başınaIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Yeni ülke içi yerinden edilmeler, çatışma ve şiddetIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
Yeni ülke içi yerinden edilmeler, 100.000 kişi başınaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Örgütlü siyasi şiddetten bildirilen ölümlerIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED fatalities
100.000 kişi başına çatışma kaynaklı ölümlerIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 SDG 16.1.2
Muharebe kaynaklı ölümler (UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths CON Organised violence hazard {persons} COUNTRY WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH
Siyasi şiddet olaylarıIND.CON.violence.political_violence_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Political violence
Silahlı çatışma olaylarıIND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence
Çatışmanın coğrafi yayılımıIND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion CON Organised violence maruziyet % COUNTRY ACLED Diffusion
Silahlı aktörlerin parçalanmasıIND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY ACLED Fragmentation
Kasten öldürme oranıIND.CON.violence.homicide_rate CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1
Askeri harcama, GSYH payıIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
Silahlı kuvvetler personeli, işgücünün payıIND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS
Sivilleri hedef alan olaylarIND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events CON Civilian harm hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians
Hedefli şiddetten kaynaklanan sivil ölümler, 100.000 kişi başınaIND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k CON Civilian harm impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 ACLED Danger
Sağlık hizmetlerine yönelik saldırılarIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care CON Civilian harm impact 1 COUNTRY
Kara mayınları ve savaştan kalan patlayıcılardan kaynaklanan kayıplarIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties CON Civilian harm impact {persons} COUNTRY
İsyanlar ve şiddet içeren gösterilerIND.CON.peace.riot_events CON Peacefulness hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ACLED Riots
Küresel Barış Endeksi genel puanı (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score CON Peacefulness vulnerability {score} COUNTRY GPI Overall Score
Küresel Barış Endeksi süregelen çatışma alanı puanı (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict CON Peacefulness hazard {score} COUNTRY GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict
OECD Kırılganlık Durumları sınıflandırmasıIND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class CON Fragility vulnerability {class} COUNTRY OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts
Dünya Bankası kırılgan ve çatışmadan etkilenen durum statüsüIND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status CON Fragility vulnerability {bool} COUNTRY
Siyasi istikrar ve şiddetin yokluğu (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Firmaların tipik bir ayda yaşadığı elektrik kesintileriIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
Sistem ortalama kesinti süresi (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Sistem ortalama kesinti sıklığı (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Kritik mineral ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Kritik mineraller vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Her mevsim kullanılabilen bir yola 2 km mesafedeki kırsal nüfusIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
Lojistik performansıIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
En iyi performansa göre düzenli hat taşımacılığı bağlantısıIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Kişi başına taşınan hava yolu yolcusuIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {passengers}/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR
Toplu taşımaya kolay erişimi olan kentsel nüfusIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki kara yolu ve demir yolu ağı, payIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share INF Ulaşım maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
İnternet kullanan bireylerIND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
Mobil ağ kapsamındaki nüfus, teknolojiye göreIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
100 kişi başına sabit geniş bant abonelikleriIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi /10*2 COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2
Uluslararası bağlantı güzergâhı yedekliliğiIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi 1 COUNTRY
Ulusal ölçekli internet kesintisi saatleriIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
Elektrik şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Su temin şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
72 saatlik yedek güce sahip kritik tesislerIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki su temin varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki elektrik üretim ve şebeke varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki hayati altyapı tesisleri, payIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Altyapı yatırım açığı, GSYH payıIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan kritik altyapı birimleriIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan sağlık tesisleriIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan eğitim tesisleriIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-3
Afetlere bağlanan temel hizmet kesintileriIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-5
Kritik altyapıdaki doğrudan ekonomik kayıp, GSYH payıIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
Kritik hizmetleri aksatan siber olaylarIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
Ar-Ge'ye yönelik gayri safi yurt içi harcama, GSYH payıIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Milyon kişi başına araştırmacıIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Yüksek teknoloji ihracatı, imalat ihracatının payıIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Yarı iletken ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Bulut altyapısı sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Yabancı veya tek sağlayıcı denetimindeki yapay zekâ hesaplama kapasitesiIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Temel model sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek muhafazalı laboratuvarların biyogüvenlik ve biyoemniyet denetimiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Biyoteknoloji başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Acil hizmetlere 15 dakika mesafedeki nüfusIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05Tehlikeler

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
YapılıÖncü219HAZARDS
2 hazard domains (inner ring) and 29 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Aile Alan Tehlikeler Sayı
AI system failure and misalignment Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Biyoteknoloji ve sentetik biyoloji Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
İklim müdahalesi teknolojileri Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Öncü ve üstel teknoloji 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Dağıtık defterler ve dijital varlıklar Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Structural and civil failure Yapılı sistemler Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage Yapılı sistemler Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents Yapılı sistemler Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents Yapılı sistemler Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall Yapılı sistemler Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall … 22
Water and wastewater system failure Yapılı sistemler Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply … 9
Telecom and data-centre failure Yapılı sistemler Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss Yapılı sistemler Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage Yapılı sistemler Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption Yapılı sistemler Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident … 12
Food system infrastructure failure Yapılı sistemler Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress Yapılı sistemler Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure Yapılı sistemler Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
06Yöntemler

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

56 methods

Siber, yapay zekâ ve öncü teknoloji

Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …

07Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

Regulators, supervisors and central banks

Design supervisory scenarios. Read systemic coupling. Replicate methods.

08Raporlar

Nexus Reports

Edition code
XT-08
Edition status
planlanıyor
Konu
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Nexus Reports

09Atıf

Atıf ve yeniden kullanım

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Drones, robotics and autonomous systems series (GRX-SER-XT-08), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-08/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000095.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-08:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.CON.violence.conflict_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragility:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.TEC.concentration.technology_concentration_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

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Ülke profilleri Tüm seriler

Durum

The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.

NXS-GRX ne değildir

NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.

Kurumlar ve kaynaklar

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.