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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index solutions · Public sector

BM sistemi ve insani yardım kuruluşları

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

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Sayfa GRX-SOL-UNBaskı 2026 Temel SürümüKanıt kapanışı 2026-09-30Değerler henüz yayımlanmadıYöntem v1.0.0-draft
on: watchlist saved · Monitor with watchlists and alerts6 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Watchlist and thresholds self-serve
  2. Pulse nowcast weekly
  3. Outlook update weekly
  4. Analyst review 6 hours
  5. Route the alert < 5 ms
  6. Handoff to the authority 2 hours

01İhtiyaç

What this solution does

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

Compare needs across contexts with intervals

Watch weekly signals for review

Read outlooks for anticipatory planning

02Featured run

İzleme listeleri ve uyarılarla izleyin

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you.

on: watchlist saved

İzleme listeleri ve uyarılarla izleyin

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Monitoring team6 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Grafik
01Set up
02Sense
03İnceleme
04Uygulayın

100%
Zaman çizelgesi
Job0 d2 d4 d6 dTarget
Watchlist and thresholdsYouinstant
Pulse nowcastPulse nowcast7 d
Outlook updateOutlook models7 d
Analyst reviewDuty analyst6 h
Route the alertAlert routerinstant
Handoff to the authorityDuty analyst2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 7.3 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Adımlar
  1. Watchlist and thresholds

    Set up · You · self-serve
    Entities and domains · Thresholds and channels
    Alert router
  2. Pulse nowcast matrix · entities × domains

    Sense · Pulse nowcast · weekly
    Anomaly against each place’s own history
    Pulse nowcastTested model kernels
  3. Outlook update

    Sense · Outlook models · weekly
    Calibrated probabilities refreshed
    Verification engineMonte Carlo engine
  4. Analyst review approval

    Review · Duty analyst · 6 hours
    Signal checked against sources · Context added
    PostgreSQL defteri (satır düzeyinde güvenlik)
  5. Route the alert

    Deliver · Alert router · < 5 ms
    Email, webhook or dashboard · Never framed as a warning
    Alert routerWebhooks and streaming
  6. Handoff to the authority

    Deliver · Duty analyst · 2 hours
    Names the authority that decides
    PostgreSQL defteri (satır düzeyinde güvenlik)
Çıktılar
Çıktı İş Kim Aşama
Watchlist Watchlist and thresholds Siz Set up
Pulse readings Pulse nowcast Pulse nowcast Sense
Outlook readings Outlook update Outlook models Sense
Reviewed signal Analyst review Duty analyst İnceleme
Alert Route the alert Alert router Uygulayın
Hand-over note Handoff to the authority Duty analyst Uygulayın
TamamlandıSürüyorOnay bekleniyorSıradaOnay kontrol noktasıMatris işiBuradasınız
Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03Yolculuklar

Every journey in this solution

NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Intelligence · Monitor

İzleme listeleri ve uyarılarla izleyin

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

İnceleme için bir sinyal

How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Bir senaryo paketi talep edin

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

04Ürünler

Ürünler ve hizmetler

INSTPulse and watchlistsWeekly nowcast by country and domain with signals for review and subscriber alerts. Signals are information for review, not warnings. INSTOutlook forecastsProbabilistic outlooks at 1, 3, 12 and 36 months for defined events, with verification scorecards. OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources. INSTSubnational and hexagon risk layersADM1, ADM2 and H3 layers for site screening, planning and allocation.
05Seriler

Series most read

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-01Global WaterAccess, scarcity, quality, floods and droughts, groundwater depletion, transboundary dependency and the couplings of water to energy, food, health and nature. GS-03Global Food and agrifoodAcute and chronic food insecurity, production shocks, import dependency, prices, fertiliser and logistics chokepoints, nutrition and pollination dependency. GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access. GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses. GS-08Global DisasterMulti-hazard exposure, disaster losses and mortality, return-period losses, protection gaps and coping capacity. GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems behind NXS-GRX. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration.

Talk to the Secretariat

Enterprise, public-sector and sovereign work is agreed with GCRI Canada.

İletişim

Durum

The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.

NXS-GRX ne değildir

NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.

Pulse sinyalleri ve görünüm olasılıkları yetkili makamların incelemesi için bilgidir, asla kamuya yönelik uyarı değildir; resmî uyarılar yalnızca görevli makamlardan gelir.

Kurumlar ve kaynaklar

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.