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El Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Intelligence · Monitor · on: watchlist saved

Seguir con listas de vigilancia y alertas

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you.

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Página GRX-JRN-MONITOR-ALERTSEdición Edición de referencia 2026Cierre de evidencia 2026-09-30Empleos 6Valores aún no publicadosMétodo v1.0.0-draft
on: watchlist saved · Monitor with watchlists and alerts6 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Watchlist and thresholds self-serve
  2. Pulse nowcast weekly
  3. Outlook update weekly
  4. Analyst review 6 hours
  5. Route the alert < 5 ms
  6. Handoff to the authority 2 hours

01Monitor

Seguir con listas de vigilancia y alertas

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you.

on: watchlist saved

Seguir con listas de vigilancia y alertas

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Monitoring team6 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Grafo
01Set up
02Sense
03Revisión
04Ejecutar

100%
Cronología
Job0 d2 d4 d6 dTarget
Watchlist and thresholdsYouinstant
Pulse nowcastPulse nowcast7 d
Outlook updateOutlook models7 d
Analyst reviewDuty analyst6 h
Route the alertAlert routerinstant
Handoff to the authorityDuty analyst2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 7.3 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Pasos
  1. Watchlist and thresholds

    Set up · You · self-serve
    Entities and domains · Thresholds and channels
    Alert router
  2. Pulse nowcast matrix · entities × domains

    Sense · Pulse nowcast · weekly
    Anomaly against each place’s own history
    Pulse nowcastTested model kernels
  3. Outlook update

    Sense · Outlook models · weekly
    Calibrated probabilities refreshed
    Verification engineMonte Carlo engine
  4. Analyst review approval

    Review · Duty analyst · 6 hours
    Signal checked against sources · Context added
    Registro PostgreSQL (seguridad a nivel de fila)
  5. Route the alert

    Deliver · Alert router · < 5 ms
    Email, webhook or dashboard · Never framed as a warning
    Alert routerWebhooks and streaming
  6. Handoff to the authority

    Deliver · Duty analyst · 2 hours
    Names the authority that decides
    Registro PostgreSQL (seguridad a nivel de fila)
Artefactos
Producto Tarea Quién Fase
Watchlist Watchlist and thresholds Tú Set up
Pulse readings Pulse nowcast Pulse nowcast Sense
Outlook readings Outlook update Outlook models Sense
Reviewed signal Analyst review Duty analyst Revisión
Alert Route the alert Alert router Ejecutar
Hand-over note Handoff to the authority Duty analyst Ejecutar
CompletadoEn cursoEn espera de aprobaciónEn colaPunto de control de aprobaciónTarea de la matrizUsted está aquí
Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02A quién va dirigido

Solutions that use this journey

Sector público

Sistema de las Naciones Unidas y organismos humanitarios

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution Enterprise

Empresas y cadenas de suministro

Examinar sitios y proveedores, vigilar los puntos de estrangulamiento y mantener actualizado el contexto de los países.

See the solution

03Tecnología

7 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Alert routerPulse nowcastTested model kernelsVerification engineMonte Carlo enginePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Webhooks and streaming

Part of NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Intelligence: Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

Contacto

Estado

La metodología, la estructura y las definiciones de The Global Risks Index son un borrador de trabajo preparatorio (2026), difundido para examen y comentarios y no para su aplicación. Ningún valor aparece hasta que se publica una edición a partir de un corte de evidencia gobernado; los valores incluyen entonces intervalos, clases, fuentes y su vía de corrección. Los simuladores aplican los métodos publicados a las cifras que usted elija y nunca muestran un valor del NXS-GRX.

Lo que NXS-GRX no es

NXS-GRX es información de investigación y analítica de riesgos. No es una calificación crediticia ni ESG y no usa ninguna escala de calificación; no es un índice de referencia para instrumentos financieros, ni estadística oficial, ni una alerta de emergencia o clasificación oficial, ni asesoramiento. No debe usarse para evaluar a personas físicas. Las clases de riesgo son bandas en una escala publicada, nunca clasificaciones de países ni de personas.

Instituciones y fuentes

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Cada valor lleva la atribución de sus fuentes, que conservan sus propias licencias. Los nombres externos se citan únicamente a efectos de interoperabilidad. Los textos de autoría de Nexus están destinados a publicarse bajo CC BY 4.0.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.