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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Intelligence · Monitor · on: watchlist saved

Monitor with watchlists and alerts

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you.

Follow the run All journeys
Page GRX-JRN-MONITOR-ALERTSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Jobs 6Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
on: watchlist saved · Monitor with watchlists and alerts6 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Watchlist and thresholds self-serve
  2. Pulse nowcast weekly
  3. Outlook update weekly
  4. Analyst review 6 hours
  5. Route the alert < 5 ms
  6. Handoff to the authority 2 hours

01Monitor

Monitor with watchlists and alerts

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you.

on: watchlist saved

Monitor with watchlists and alerts

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Monitoring team6 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Set up
02Sense
03Review
04Tekeleza

100%
Timeline
Job0 d2 d4 d6 dTarget
Watchlist and thresholdsYouinstant
Pulse nowcastPulse nowcast7 d
Outlook updateOutlook models7 d
Analyst reviewDuty analyst6 h
Route the alertAlert routerinstant
Handoff to the authorityDuty analyst2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 7.3 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Watchlist and thresholds

    Set up · You · self-serve
    Entities and domains · Thresholds and channels
    Alert router
  2. Pulse nowcast matrix · entities × domains

    Sense · Pulse nowcast · weekly
    Anomaly against each place’s own history
    Pulse nowcastTested model kernels
  3. Outlook update

    Sense · Outlook models · weekly
    Calibrated probabilities refreshed
    Verification engineMonte Carlo engine
  4. Analyst review approval

    Review · Duty analyst · 6 hours
    Signal checked against sources · Context added
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  5. Route the alert

    Deliver · Alert router · < 5 ms
    Email, webhook or dashboard · Never framed as a warning
    Alert routerWebhooks and streaming
  6. Handoff to the authority

    Deliver · Duty analyst · 2 hours
    Names the authority that decides
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Hatua
Watchlist Watchlist and thresholds You Set up
Pulse readings Pulse nowcast Pulse nowcast Sense
Outlook readings Outlook update Outlook models Sense
Reviewed signal Analyst review Duty analyst Review
Alert Route the alert Alert router Tekeleza
Hand-over note Handoff to the authority Duty analyst Tekeleza
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02Who it is for

Solutions that use this journey

Sekta ya umma

UN system and humanitarian agencies

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution Enterprise

Corporates and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers, watch chokepoints and keep country context current.

See the solution

03Teknolojia

7 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Alert routerPulse nowcastTested model kernelsVerification engineMonte Carlo enginePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Webhooks and streaming

Part of NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Intelligence: Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

Wasiliana nasi

Hali

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

NXS-GRX si nini

NXS-GRX ni taarifa ya utafiti na uchambuzi wa hatari. Si daraja la mikopo wala la ESG na haitumii kipimo chochote cha daraja, si kigezo cha vyombo vya fedha, si takwimu rasmi, si onyo la dharura wala uainishaji rasmi, na si ushauri. Haipaswi kutumiwa kutathmini watu binafsi. Madaraja ya hatari ni mikanda kwenye kipimo kilichochapishwa, kamwe si mpangilio wa nchi au watu.

Taasisi na vyanzo

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.