Skip to content

Der Global Risks Index

Hazard Standard · 18 hazards

Eis und Schnee

Hazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice.

Seite GRX-HAZ-CRYOAusgabe Basisausgabe 2026Evidenzschluss 2026-09-30Werte noch nicht veröffentlichtMethode v1.0.0-draft
Hazard Standard · Ice and snow
Herkunft
natural10
hybrid8
onset
rapid6
creeping5
progressive5
slow1
instantaneous1
predictability
statistical10
nowcast-only3
forecastable3
seasonal2
3
families
18
Gefahren
59
Beziehungen
12
risk-class tags

01Familien

3 families, 18 hazards

Hazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice. Organised by ice; families by driving process.

Snowpack hazards cryo.snowpack

Hazards of seasonal snow cover: it falls as a slope hazard, melts as a water source and goes missing as a drought.

Snow avalanchecryo.snowpack.avalanche

A mass of snow sliding or flowing down a slope, burying people, roads and buildings.

Also: snow slide

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · momentaryFootprint · districtPredictability · nowcast-only
Snow droughtcryo.snowpack.snow-drought

A winter snowpack far below normal that cuts spring meltwater for rivers, hydropower and irrigation.

Origin · naturalOnset · slowDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · seasonal
Rain-on-snow eventcryo.snowpack.rain-on-snow

Rain falling on a snowpack so that it melts and releases water quickly, adding to runoff and flood peaks.

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastable

Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost change cryo.glacier

Land ice and frozen ground changing state: sudden releases and slow losses are kept together because they share monitoring (satellite altimetry, ground sensors) and the same warming driver.

Glacial lake outburst floodcryo.glacier.glacial-lake-outburst

A sudden release of water from a lake held back by a glacier or moraine, sending a flood and debris wave down the valley.

Also: GLOF

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Glacier or ice-mass collapsecryo.glacier.glacier-collapse

A large part of a glacier or hanging ice breaking away and rushing down the valley as an ice and rock avalanche.

Also: ice avalanche, hanging glacier break-off

Origin · naturalOnset · instantaneousDuration · momentaryFootprint · cityPredictability · statistical
Glacier mass losscryo.glacier.glacier-mass-loss

Sustained shrinking of mountain glaciers that first raises and later cuts dry-season river flow and destabilises slopes.

Also: glacier retreat

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Ice-sheet mass losscryo.glacier.ice-sheet-loss

Net loss of ice from the great ice sheets, driving long-term sea-level rise and changes in ocean circulation.

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic riskPlanetary risk
Permafrost thawcryo.glacier.permafrost-thaw

Warming of frozen ground that weakens foundations, collapses slopes, releases greenhouse gases and reshapes drainage.

Also: thermokarst

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Ice-shelf disintegrationcryo.glacier.ice-shelf-disintegration

Rapid break-up of a floating ice shelf when meltwater fractures it or warm water thins it, letting the glaciers it held back flow faster into the sea.

Also: ice-shelf collapse, hydrofracture

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Subglacial outburst floodcryo.glacier.subglacial-outburst

A sudden flood of meltwater released from beneath a glacier, often by volcanic heat, that sweeps away bridges, roads and land downstream.

Also: jokulhlaup, glacial volcanic flood

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · nowcast-only
Glacier surgecryo.glacier.glacier-surge

A glacier advancing many times faster than normal for months to years, overrunning land and damming rivers to create outburst flood risk.

Also: surging glacier

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · extendedFootprint · districtPredictability · statistical
Permafrost thaw slumpcryo.glacier.thaw-slump

Collapse and retreat of slopes as ice-rich permafrost thaws, flowing mud and debris into rivers and undermining roads, pipelines and buildings.

Also: retrogressive thaw slump, active-layer detachment

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · districtPredictability · statistical
Rock glacier destabilisationcryo.glacier.rock-glacier-destabilisation

Acceleration and breakdown of ice-cemented rock glaciers as mountain permafrost warms, feeding debris flows and rockfall onto mountain infrastructure.

Also: rock glacier acceleration, creeping permafrost failure

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · districtPredictability · statisticalEmerging risk

Floating ice cryo.floating-ice

Ice that floats on open water: grouped by medium because the hazard is to shipping, ports and offshore work, and is observed the same way.

Sea icecryo.floating-ice.sea-ice

Sea ice that closes shipping lanes, crushes hulls and platforms and cuts off coastal communities.

Also: pack ice

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastable
Iceberg and ice-floe driftcryo.floating-ice.ice-floe-drift

Icebergs or large floes drifting into shipping lanes, ports and offshore platforms.

Also: icebergs, ice flow

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastable
Sea-ice losscryo.floating-ice.sea-ice-loss

Shrinking polar ice cover that exposes coasts, shifts weather patterns and opens new shipping and security risks.

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Lake and river ice losscryo.floating-ice.lake-river-ice-loss

Later freeze-up, earlier break-up and thinner ice on lakes and rivers that cut off winter roads and travel and raise drowning risk for northern communities.

Also: ice road failure, shorter ice season

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · seasonal
Shoreline ice shovecryo.floating-ice.ice-shove

Wind or current driving lake or sea ice onto shore, where it piles up and crushes buildings, docks and shoreline structures.

Also: ice push, ice pile-up

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · momentaryFootprint · districtPredictability · nowcast-only
02Beziehungen

59 expert relations

Triggers, amplifications, compound pairs and reductions from the Hazard Standard expert model; 39 lead out of this domain into others.

Von Art An Mechanismus Confidence
Heavy snowfall trigger Snow avalanche new snow loads a slope high
Heavy snowfall reduces Snow drought adds to the snowpack high
Snowstorm trigger Snow avalanche rapid snow loading in wind medium
Blizzard trigger Snow avalanche wind slabs form on lee slopes high
Hitzewelle amplify Snow drought warm spells melt snow early high
Hitzewelle trigger Glacial lake outburst flood rapid melt raises lake level and stresses dams medium
Atmospheric river trigger Rain-on-snow event warm moist air rains on snow high
Atmospheric river reduces Snow drought adds snow at altitude medium
Snow avalanche trigger Widespread power outage burial of lines and poles in mountain terrain medium
Snow drought trigger Hydrological drought less spring melt feeds rivers high
Snow drought amplify Agricultural drought less irrigation water high
Snow drought amplify Waldbrand earlier drying and a longer fire season medium
Rain-on-snow event trigger Snowmelt flood rain adds heat and water to the snowpack high
Rain-on-snow event trigger Flusshochwasser rain and melt together raise discharge high
Rain-on-snow event trigger Snow avalanche wet snow loses strength medium
Glacial lake outburst flood trigger Debris flow flood wave entrains valley debris high
Glacial lake outburst flood trigger Sturzflut sudden release of lake volume high
Glacier or ice-mass collapse trigger Glacial lake outburst flood ice falling into a lake displaces water over a dam high
Glacier or ice-mass collapse trigger Natural-dam outburst flood ice and rock debris block a valley medium
Glacier or ice-mass collapse trigger Tsunami calving or ice fall into a fjord or lake low
Glacier mass loss trigger Glacial lake outburst flood new meltwater lakes form behind unstable dams medium
Glacier mass loss amplify Water supply shortfall long-run loss of dry-season meltwater high
Glacier mass loss amplify Sea-level rise meltwater adds to the ocean high
Glacier mass loss amplify Rock avalanche loss of ice support and thawing of slopes medium
Glacier mass loss trigger Hydrological drought reduced melt contribution after peak flow medium
Ice-sheet mass loss amplify Sea-level rise ice discharge adds to the ocean high
Ice-sheet mass loss trigger Abrupt climate-system shift freshwater input may weaken ocean circulation low
Permafrost thaw trigger Slope slide loss of ground ice weakens slopes high
Permafrost thaw trigger Land subsidence ground ice melts and the ground settles high
Permafrost thaw trigger Pipeline rupture ground movement loads pipelines medium
Permafrost thaw trigger Building collapse foundation settlement medium
Permafrost thaw amplify Coastal erosion thawing coastal bluffs erode quickly high
Permafrost thaw trigger Anthrax outbreak thawing exposes old carcasses and spores low
Sea ice trigger Maritime accident hull damage and entrapment high
Sea ice trigger Oil and gas extraction accident ice loads on offshore structures medium
Sea ice trigger Port or hub closure ports and routes blocked by ice medium
Iceberg and ice-floe drift trigger Maritime accident collision with ice high
Iceberg and ice-floe drift trigger Oil and gas extraction accident ice impact on platforms medium
Sea-ice loss amplify Coastal erosion less shore-fast ice protection from waves high
Sea-ice loss trigger Biodiversity loss habitat loss for ice-dependent species medium
Sea-ice loss amplify Polar vortex disruption altered Arctic heating and wave patterns low
Rock avalanche trigger Glacial lake outburst flood impact into a glacial lake causes overtopping medium
Waldbrand amplify Glacier mass loss soot darkens snow and ice low
Black carbon amplify Glacier mass loss soot on snow and ice absorbs sunlight medium
Ice-shelf disintegration amplify West Antarctic ice sheet collapse loss of buttressing speeds glacier flow high
Ice-shelf disintegration amplify Sea-level rise released glaciers speed ice discharge high
Sea-ice loss amplify Arctic winter sea-ice collapse thinner ice reforms less each winter medium
Antarctic sea-ice regime shift amplify Ice-shelf disintegration waves and warm water reach exposed shelf fronts medium
Glacier mass loss trigger Post-peak glacier meltwater decline shrinking ice area passes peak meltwater high
Boreal forest northern advance amplify Permafrost thaw darker surface and shading change ground heat balance medium
Permafrost thaw trigger Permafrost carbon release thawed organic matter decomposes high
Permafrost thaw trigger Permafrost thaw slump ground ice melts and slopes collapse high
Permafrost thaw trigger Rock glacier destabilisation warmer ice cement weakens medium
Permafrost thaw slump compound-with Abrupt permafrost thaw emission the same ground collapse exposes deep carbon medium
Volcanic unrest trigger Subglacial outburst flood volcanic heat melts ice from below high
Glacier surge trigger Natural-dam outburst flood advancing ice dams a valley medium
Rock glacier destabilisation trigger Debris flow loosened debris is mobilised by rain medium
Lake and river ice loss amplify Food supply-chain breakdown winter roads to remote communities fail medium
Windstorm trigger Shoreline ice shove wind drives ice onshore high
04Im gesamten Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms, standards, learning and working groups across GCRI, GRF and GRA for the systems these hazards act on.

05Normen

Standards that govern this domain

Propose a change to Hazard Standard

Definitions and relations are a draft for expert review; corrections follow the standards development process.