الصحة وعلم الأوبئة
Methods for health, one-health on the Julia and Python and r compute planes.
25 capabilities
9 of 25 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| المنهجية | Capability ID | الحالة | يعمل على |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIR Epidemiology | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.sir.epidemiology.v1 |
Reference implementation | Python · epidemiology.sir_step |
| SEIR Epidemiology | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.seir.epidemiology.v1 |
Reference implementation | Python · epidemiology.seir_rk4 |
| Stochastic Epidemic | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.stochastic.epidemic.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Rt Estimation | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.rt.estimation.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.renewal_rt |
| Health Nowcasting | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.nowcasting.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Outbreak Detection | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.outbreak.detection.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.ears_aberration |
| Syndromic Surveillance | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.syndromic.surveillance.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.ears_aberration |
| Spatial Epidemic | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.spatial.epidemic.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Hospital Capacity | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.hospital.capacity.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · health.hospital_capacity |
| ICU Demand | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.icu.demand.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · health.bed_occupancy_convolution |
| Health Workforce | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.workforce.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Pharmaceutical Supply | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.pharmaceutical.supply.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Health Access | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.access.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Excess Mortality | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.excess.mortality.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Heat Health | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.heat.health.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Air Pollution Burden | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.air.pollution.burden.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Waterborne Disease | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.waterborne.disease.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Vector Borne Disease | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.vector.borne.disease.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Foodborne Disease | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.foodborne.disease.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Health System Resilience | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.system.resilience.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Health Supply Chain | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.supply.chain.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Pandemic Scenario | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.pandemic.scenario.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.sir_final_size |
| Zoonotic Spillover Support | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.zoonotic.spillover.support.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| One Health Nexus | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.one.health.nexus.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Epidemic Growth Rate | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.epidemic.growth.rate.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.growth_rate_reproduction_number |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- scientific simulation, Bayesian inference, state space, time series, spatial statistics, change detection
- المجالات
- health, one-health
- Compute planes
- Julia, Python, r
- Source classes
- public-health, surveillance, hospital, environment, supply-chain
- Spatial supports
- facility, admin, grid
- Temporal supports
- daily, weekly, forecast, scenario
الحالة
منهجية The Global Risks Index وبنيته وتعاريفه مسودة عمل تحضيرية (2026)، تُعمَّم للمراجعة والتعليق لا للتطبيق. ولا تظهر أي قيمة إلى أن يصدر إصدار من مقطع أدلة خاضع للحوكمة؛ وعندئذ تحمل القيم فترات وفئات ومصادر ومسار تصويبها. وتُطبِّق أدوات المحاكاة المنهجيات المنشورة على أرقام تختارها أنت، ولا تعرض أبدًا أي قيمة من NXS-GRX.
ما ليس عليه NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX معلومات بحثية وتحليلية للمخاطر. وهو ليس تصنيفًا ائتمانيًا ولا تصنيفًا بيئيًا واجتماعيًا وحوكميًا ولا يستخدم أي مقياس تصنيف، وليس مؤشرًا مرجعيًا للأدوات المالية، ولا إحصاءً رسميًا، ولا إنذارًا طارئًا أو تصنيفًا رسميًا، ولا مشورة. ولا يجوز استخدامه لتقييم الأشخاص الطبيعيين. فئات المخاطر نطاقات على مقياس منشور، وليست أبدًا ترتيبًا للبلدان أو الأشخاص.
المؤسسات والمصادر
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
تحمل كل قيمة إسناد مصادرها، التي تحتفظ بتراخيصها الخاصة. ولا يُستشهد بالأسماء الخارجية إلا لأغراض قابلية التشغيل البيني. ويُعتزم إصدار النصوص التي تؤلفها Nexus بموجب ترخيص CC BY 4.0 عند نشرها.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.