Salute ed epidemiologia
Methods for health, one-health on the Julia and Python and r compute planes.
25 capabilities
9 of 25 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| Metodo | Capability ID | Stato | Viene eseguito su |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIR Epidemiology | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.sir.epidemiology.v1 |
Reference implementation | Python · epidemiology.sir_step |
| SEIR Epidemiology | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.seir.epidemiology.v1 |
Reference implementation | Python · epidemiology.seir_rk4 |
| Stochastic Epidemic | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.stochastic.epidemic.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Rt Estimation | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.rt.estimation.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.renewal_rt |
| Health Nowcasting | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.nowcasting.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Outbreak Detection | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.outbreak.detection.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.ears_aberration |
| Syndromic Surveillance | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.syndromic.surveillance.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.ears_aberration |
| Spatial Epidemic | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.spatial.epidemic.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Hospital Capacity | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.hospital.capacity.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · health.hospital_capacity |
| ICU Demand | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.icu.demand.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · health.bed_occupancy_convolution |
| Health Workforce | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.workforce.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Pharmaceutical Supply | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.pharmaceutical.supply.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Health Access | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.access.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Excess Mortality | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.excess.mortality.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Heat Health | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.heat.health.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Air Pollution Burden | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.air.pollution.burden.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Waterborne Disease | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.waterborne.disease.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Vector Borne Disease | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.vector.borne.disease.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Foodborne Disease | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.foodborne.disease.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Health System Resilience | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.system.resilience.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Health Supply Chain | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.health.supply.chain.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Pandemic Scenario | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.pandemic.scenario.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.sir_final_size |
| Zoonotic Spillover Support | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.zoonotic.spillover.support.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| One Health Nexus | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.one.health.nexus.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Epidemic Growth Rate | risk.capability.health-epidemiology.epidemic.growth.rate.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · epidemiology.growth_rate_reproduction_number |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- scientific simulation, Bayesian inference, state space, time series, spatial statistics, change detection
- Domini
- health, one-health
- Compute planes
- Julia, Python, r
- Source classes
- public-health, surveillance, hospital, environment, supply-chain
- Spatial supports
- facility, admin, grid
- Temporal supports
- daily, weekly, forecast, scenario
Propose a method
New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.
Stato
La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.
Che cosa non è NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.
Istituzioni e fonti
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Ogni valore riporta l’attribuzione delle proprie fonti, che mantengono le rispettive licenze. I nomi esterni sono citati unicamente a fini di interoperabilità. I testi redatti da Nexus sono destinati alla licenza CC BY 4.0 al momento della pubblicazione.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.