Science des aléas
Methods for hazard, climate, disaster-risk on the Julia and Python compute planes.
37 capabilities
7 of 37 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| Méthode | Capability ID | État | S'exécute sur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard Intensity Footprint Screening | risk.capability.hazard-science.hazard.intensity.footprint.screening.v1 |
Connected | engine.grix.risk.hazard.intensity.footprint.v1 |
| Earthquake Hazard | risk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.hazard.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · earthquake.psha_logic_tree |
| Earthquake Ground Motion | risk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.ground.motion.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · earthquake.gmpe_logic_tree |
| Earthquake Rupture | risk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.rupture.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Liquefaction | risk.capability.hazard-science.liquefaction.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Landslide | risk.capability.hazard-science.landslide.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tsunami | risk.capability.hazard-science.tsunami.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| River Flood | risk.capability.hazard-science.river.flood.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Pluvial Flood | risk.capability.hazard-science.pluvial.flood.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Coastal Flood | risk.capability.hazard-science.coastal.flood.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tropical Cyclone | risk.capability.hazard-science.tropical.cyclone.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Extratropical Storm | risk.capability.hazard-science.extratropical.storm.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tornado and Convective Storm | risk.capability.hazard-science.tornado.and.convective.storm.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Hail | risk.capability.hazard-science.hail.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Wildfire Ignition | risk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.ignition.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Wildfire Spread | risk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.spread.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Wildfire Smoke | risk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.smoke.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Sécheresse | risk.capability.hazard-science.drought.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · water.standardized_precipitation_index |
| Chaleur | risk.capability.hazard-science.heat.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Cold | risk.capability.hazard-science.cold.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Snow and Ice | risk.capability.hazard-science.snow.and.ice.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Avalanche | risk.capability.hazard-science.avalanche.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Volcano | risk.capability.hazard-science.volcano.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Subsidence | risk.capability.hazard-science.subsidence.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Permafrost | risk.capability.hazard-science.permafrost.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Geomagnetic Storm | risk.capability.hazard-science.geomagnetic.storm.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Meteor and Asteroid | risk.capability.hazard-science.meteor.and.asteroid.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Historical Climate Baseline | risk.capability.hazard-science.historical.climate.baseline.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Bias Correction and Downscaling | risk.capability.hazard-science.bias.correction.and.downscaling.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · climate.empirical_quantile_mapping |
| CMIP Scenario Ensemble | risk.capability.hazard-science.cmip.scenario.ensemble.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · climate.multi_model_ensemble_summary |
| Compound Event | risk.capability.hazard-science.compound.event.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Nonstationary Extreme Value | risk.capability.hazard-science.nonstationary.extreme.value.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Sea Level Rise | risk.capability.hazard-science.sea.level.rise.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · climate.sea_level_ensemble |
| Climate Attribution | risk.capability.hazard-science.climate.attribution.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Climate Stress Test | risk.capability.hazard-science.climate.stress.test.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tipping Point Scenario | risk.capability.hazard-science.tipping.point.scenario.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Transition Risk Scenario | risk.capability.hazard-science.transition.risk.scenario.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- extreme value, scientific simulation, stochastic process, spatial statistics, geostatistics, scenario ensemble
- Domaines
- hazard, climate, disaster-risk
- Compute planes
- Julia, Python
- Source classes
- eo, meteorology, geophysics, hydrology, terrain, sensor, climate-model
- Spatial supports
- point, footprint, grid, raster, mesh, basin, coast
- Temporal supports
- event, series, forecast, scenario
Propose a method
New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.
Statut
La méthodologie, la structure et les définitions de The Global Risks Index constituent un projet de travail préparatoire (2026), diffusé pour examen et commentaires et non pour mise en œuvre. Aucune valeur n'apparaît avant la publication d'une édition à partir d'une coupe de données probantes encadrée ; les valeurs comportent alors des intervalles, des classes, des sources et leur voie de correction. Les simulateurs appliquent les méthodes publiées à des nombres que vous choisissez et n'affichent jamais de valeur NXS-GRX.
Ce que NXS-GRX n'est pas
NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques. Ce n'est pas une notation de crédit ou ESG et il n'utilise aucune échelle de notation ; ce n'est pas un indice de référence pour des instruments financiers, ni une statistique officielle, ni une alerte d'urgence ou une classification officielle, ni un conseil. Il ne doit pas servir à évaluer des personnes physiques. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, jamais des classements de pays ou de personnes.
Institutions et sources
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Chaque valeur porte l'attribution de ses sources, qui conservent leurs propres licences. Les noms externes ne sont cités qu'à des fins d'interopérabilité. Les textes rédigés par Nexus sont destinés à être publiés sous licence CC BY 4.0.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.