علم المخاطر
Methods for hazard, climate, disaster-risk on the Julia and Python compute planes.
37 capabilities
7 of 37 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| المنهجية | Capability ID | الحالة | يعمل على |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard Intensity Footprint Screening | risk.capability.hazard-science.hazard.intensity.footprint.screening.v1 |
متصل | engine.grix.risk.hazard.intensity.footprint.v1 |
| Earthquake Hazard | risk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.hazard.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · earthquake.psha_logic_tree |
| Earthquake Ground Motion | risk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.ground.motion.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · earthquake.gmpe_logic_tree |
| Earthquake Rupture | risk.capability.hazard-science.earthquake.rupture.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Liquefaction | risk.capability.hazard-science.liquefaction.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Landslide | risk.capability.hazard-science.landslide.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tsunami | risk.capability.hazard-science.tsunami.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| River Flood | risk.capability.hazard-science.river.flood.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Pluvial Flood | risk.capability.hazard-science.pluvial.flood.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Coastal Flood | risk.capability.hazard-science.coastal.flood.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tropical Cyclone | risk.capability.hazard-science.tropical.cyclone.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Extratropical Storm | risk.capability.hazard-science.extratropical.storm.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tornado and Convective Storm | risk.capability.hazard-science.tornado.and.convective.storm.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Hail | risk.capability.hazard-science.hail.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Wildfire Ignition | risk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.ignition.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Wildfire Spread | risk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.spread.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Wildfire Smoke | risk.capability.hazard-science.wildfire.smoke.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| الجفاف | risk.capability.hazard-science.drought.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · water.standardized_precipitation_index |
| الحرارة | risk.capability.hazard-science.heat.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Cold | risk.capability.hazard-science.cold.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Snow and Ice | risk.capability.hazard-science.snow.and.ice.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Avalanche | risk.capability.hazard-science.avalanche.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Volcano | risk.capability.hazard-science.volcano.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Subsidence | risk.capability.hazard-science.subsidence.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Permafrost | risk.capability.hazard-science.permafrost.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Geomagnetic Storm | risk.capability.hazard-science.geomagnetic.storm.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Meteor and Asteroid | risk.capability.hazard-science.meteor.and.asteroid.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Historical Climate Baseline | risk.capability.hazard-science.historical.climate.baseline.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Bias Correction and Downscaling | risk.capability.hazard-science.bias.correction.and.downscaling.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · climate.empirical_quantile_mapping |
| CMIP Scenario Ensemble | risk.capability.hazard-science.cmip.scenario.ensemble.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · climate.multi_model_ensemble_summary |
| Compound Event | risk.capability.hazard-science.compound.event.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Nonstationary Extreme Value | risk.capability.hazard-science.nonstationary.extreme.value.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Sea Level Rise | risk.capability.hazard-science.sea.level.rise.v1 |
Specialist model required | Python · climate.sea_level_ensemble |
| Climate Attribution | risk.capability.hazard-science.climate.attribution.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Climate Stress Test | risk.capability.hazard-science.climate.stress.test.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Tipping Point Scenario | risk.capability.hazard-science.tipping.point.scenario.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
| Transition Risk Scenario | risk.capability.hazard-science.transition.risk.scenario.v1 |
Specialist model required | – |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- extreme value, scientific simulation, stochastic process, spatial statistics, geostatistics, scenario ensemble
- المجالات
- hazard, climate, disaster-risk
- Compute planes
- Julia, Python
- Source classes
- eo, meteorology, geophysics, hydrology, terrain, sensor, climate-model
- Spatial supports
- point, footprint, grid, raster, mesh, basin, coast
- Temporal supports
- event, series, forecast, scenario
الحالة
منهجية The Global Risks Index وبنيته وتعاريفه مسودة عمل تحضيرية (2026)، تُعمَّم للمراجعة والتعليق لا للتطبيق. ولا تظهر أي قيمة إلى أن يصدر إصدار من مقطع أدلة خاضع للحوكمة؛ وعندئذ تحمل القيم فترات وفئات ومصادر ومسار تصويبها. وتُطبِّق أدوات المحاكاة المنهجيات المنشورة على أرقام تختارها أنت، ولا تعرض أبدًا أي قيمة من NXS-GRX.
ما ليس عليه NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX معلومات بحثية وتحليلية للمخاطر. وهو ليس تصنيفًا ائتمانيًا ولا تصنيفًا بيئيًا واجتماعيًا وحوكميًا ولا يستخدم أي مقياس تصنيف، وليس مؤشرًا مرجعيًا للأدوات المالية، ولا إحصاءً رسميًا، ولا إنذارًا طارئًا أو تصنيفًا رسميًا، ولا مشورة. ولا يجوز استخدامه لتقييم الأشخاص الطبيعيين. فئات المخاطر نطاقات على مقياس منشور، وليست أبدًا ترتيبًا للبلدان أو الأشخاص.
المؤسسات والمصادر
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
تحمل كل قيمة إسناد مصادرها، التي تحتفظ بتراخيصها الخاصة. ولا يُستشهد بالأسماء الخارجية إلا لأغراض قابلية التشغيل البيني. ويُعتزم إصدار النصوص التي تؤلفها Nexus بموجب ترخيص CC BY 4.0 عند نشرها.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.