Märkte, Handel und Lieferketten
Methods for trade, supply-chain, markets on the Julia and Python compute planes.
30 capabilities
7 of 30 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| Methode | Capability ID | Status | Läuft auf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commodity Price Risk | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.commodity.price.risk.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Price Volatility | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.price.volatility.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Market Regime | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.market.regime.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Demand Forecasting | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.demand.forecasting.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Supply Forecasting | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.supply.forecasting.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Trade Dependency | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.trade.dependency.v1 |
Reference implementation | Python · trade.dependency |
| Bilateral Concentration | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.bilateral.concentration.v1 |
Reference implementation | Python · trade.concentration |
| Import Reliance | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.import.reliance.v1 |
Reference implementation | – |
| Export Concentration | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.export.concentration.v1 |
Reference implementation | – |
| Tariff Exposure | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.tariff.exposure.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Sanctions Exposure | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.sanctions.exposure.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Shipping Disruption | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.shipping.disruption.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Port Congestion | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.port.congestion.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Aviation Disruption | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.aviation.disruption.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Inventory Shortage | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.inventory.shortage.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Bullwhip | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.bullwhip.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Supplier Failure | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.supplier.failure.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Multi Tier Supplier Graph | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.multi.tier.supplier.graph.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Geographic Concentration | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.geographic.concentration.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Single Source Dependency | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.single.source.dependency.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Supplier Concentration | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.supplier.concentration.v1 |
Data required | Python · supply.hhi |
| Lead Time Risk | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.lead.time.risk.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Logistics Capacity | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.logistics.capacity.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Geopolitical Trade Shock | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.geopolitical.trade.shock.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Supply Demand Imbalance | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.supply.demand.imbalance.v1 |
Data required | Python · market.supply_demand_imbalance |
| Food Market Stress | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.food.market.stress.v1 |
Data required | Python · food.price_anomaly_ifpa |
| Energy Market Stress | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.energy.market.stress.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Critical Mineral Risk | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.critical.mineral.risk.v1 |
Data required | – |
| Input Output Propagation | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.input.output.propagation.v1 |
Data required | Python · supply.leontief |
| Inoperability Input Output | risk.capability.market-trade-supply-chain.inoperability.input.output.v1 |
Data required | Python · supply.inoperability |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- time series, network science, optimisation, system dynamics, scenario ensemble
- Bereiche
- trade, supply-chain, markets
- Compute planes
- Julia, Python
- Source classes
- market-price, trade-flow, shipping, inventory, supplier, sanctions
- Spatial supports
- route, port, network, country
- Temporal supports
- daily, monthly, scenario
Propose a method
New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.
Status
Methodik, Struktur und Definitionen des Global Risks Index sind ein vorbereitender Arbeitsentwurf (2026), der zur Prüfung und Stellungnahme und nicht zur Umsetzung verbreitet wird. Kein Wert erscheint, bevor eine Ausgabe aus einem geregelten Evidenzschnitt veröffentlicht ist; die Werte tragen dann Intervalle, Klassen, Quellen und ihren Korrekturweg. Die Simulatoren wenden die veröffentlichten Methoden auf Zahlen an, die Sie wählen, und zeigen niemals einen NXS-GRX-Wert.
Was NXS-GRX nicht ist
NXS-GRX ist eine Forschungs- und Risikoanalyseinformation. Es ist kein Kredit- oder ESG-Rating und verwendet keine Ratingskala, kein Referenzwert für Finanzinstrumente, keine amtliche Statistik, keine Notfallwarnung oder amtliche Einstufung und keine Beratung. Es darf nicht zur Bewertung natürlicher Personen verwendet werden. Risikoklassen sind Bänder auf einer veröffentlichten Skala, niemals Rangfolgen von Ländern oder Personen.
Institutionen und Quellen
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
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Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.