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NXS-GRX-UGA · Eastern Africa

Уганда

Country risk profile on The Global Risks Index: hazard and threat exposure, vulnerability, macro-financial fragility, coping capacity and systemic coupling, with intervals, sources and corrections on every value.

Страница GRX-UGAВыпуск Базовый выпуск 2026Закрытие доказательной базы 2026-09-30ISO UGA / UGСтатус UN member stateЗначения ещё не опубликованоМетод v1.0.0-draft
РИС. 1 · Uganda in Eastern Africa
Загрузка карты
ФиджиОбъединённая Республика ТанзанияСоединённые Штаты АмерикиПапуа-Новая ГвинеяИндонезияАргентинаЧилиДемократическая Республика КонгоСомалиКенияСуданЧадДоминиканская РеспубликаТимор-ЛештиЮжная АфрикаЛесотоУругвайБразилияБоливия (Многонациональное Государство)КолумбияВенесуэла (Боливарианская Республика)ГайанаСуринамФранцияЗимбабвеБотсванаНамибияСенегалМалиМавританияБенинНигерНигерияКамерунТогоГанаCôte d’IvoireГвинеяГвинея-БисауЛиберияСьерра-ЛеонеБуркина-ФасоЦентрально-Африканская РеспубликаКонгоГабонЭкваториальная ГвинеяЗамбияМалавиМозамбикЭсватиниАнголаБурундиИзраильЛиванМадагаскарГосударство ПалестинаГамбияТунисАлжирИорданияОбъединенные Арабские ЭмиратыКатарКувейтИракОманКамбоджаТаиландLao People’s Democratic RepublicМьянмаВьетнамРеспублика КореяИндияБангладешБутанНепалПакистанАфганистанТаджикистанТуркменистанИран (Исламская Республика)Сирийская Арабская РеспубликаГрецияТурцияИспанияНовая ЗеландияАвстралияШри-ЛанкаКитайИталияФилиппиныМалайзияБруней-ДаруссаламЭритреяЯпонияПарагвайЙеменСаудовская АравияКипрМароккоЕгипетЛивияЭфиопияДжибутиУгандаРуандаТринидад и ТобагоЮжный СуданАнтигуа и БарбудаБахрейнБарбадосКоморыКабо-ВердеДоминикаГренадаСент-Китс и НевисСент-ЛюсияМальдивыМальтаМаврикийПалауСингапурСан-Томе и ПринсипиСейшельские о-ваСент-Винсент и Гренадины
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110m · locatorЗначения после выпуска
Select a neighbouring profile to open it. Boundaries are shown at 1:110m for location only and take no position on any boundary or status.
20
отраслевые индексы
443
country indicators
14
hazard domains
17
sub-regional peers
02Humanitarian data

Uganda in humanitarian data

Source observations from the Humanitarian Data Exchange, each with its reference date, provider and licence. They are not index values.

Population · 2022-12-31

46,210,758

people. UNFPA · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Refugees hosted · 2025-12-31

5,242,968

refugees and asylum-seekers in the country. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Refugees from the country · 2025-12-31

3,295,210

refugees and asylum-seekers abroad, most in Uganda, Canada, Kenya. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Humanitarian funding · 2025-12-31

US$ 138 m

received against US$ 827 m required. OCHA Financial Tracking System (FTS) · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Rainfall

132 units

with rainfall against the long-term average, on the unit pages. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution International (CC BY).

Food prices · 2026-01-14

42 markets

Beans: 3516 UGX per KG. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

03Области

The full profile of Uganda, area by area

Fourteen areas from macroeconomy to frontier technology, and the planned innovation index. Each card says whether its sources are cleared, shows the mix, and gives two actions: what the area needs, and a scenario you can run now on open data.

Как читатьAdmitted: usableUnder legal review: waitingProhibited: excludedNot in the register: not yet assessedAcross the 14 areas: 113 admitted · 63 under legal review · 23 prohibited · 170 not in the register
Partly admitted14 indicators · 2 composites

Macroeconomy and external position

Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.

GDP
US$ 62.0 billion 2025
GDP per person
US$ 1,206 2025
GDP growth
6.3% 2025
4 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 not in the register
Partly admitted37 indicators · 7 composites

Fiscal position and public debt

Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.

Government revenue
14% 2024
Government expense
16.6% 2023
Central government debt
54.4% 2024
7 admitted · 13 under legal review · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted32 indicators · 7 composites

Financial system

Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.

Domestic credit from the financial sector
34% 2024
Non-performing loans
3.9% 2024
Bank capital to assets
15.5% 2023
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Trade, economic structure and supply chains

Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.

Торговля
50.2% 2025
Exports
21.4% 2025
Fuel exports
2.3% 2024
8 admitted · 6 under legal review · 5 not in the register
Partly admitted13 indicators · 5 composites

Вода

Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.

Safely managed drinking water
18.1% 2024
Water stress
5.8% 2022
Renewable internal freshwater per person
824 m³ 2022
3 admitted · 2 under legal review · 2 prohibited · 4 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Энергетика

Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.

Access to electricity
55.3% 2024
Renewable energy
90.9% 2022
Energy imports, net
9.8% 2024
7 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Food systems

Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.

Undernourishment
20.9% 2024
Cereal yield
1,920 2024
Stunting, under 5
24.4% 2022
14 admitted · 4 under legal review · 2 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 6 composites

Безопасность в области здравоохранения

Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.

Life expectancy
68.5 years 2024
Under-5 mortality
48.7 2024
Health spending
4.2% 2023
4 admitted · 2 under legal review · 15 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted22 indicators · 6 composites

Environment and biodiversity

Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.

Forest area
11.9% 2024
Protected areas
16.1% 2025
PM2.5 air pollution
31.2 µg/m³ 2023
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 22 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 8 composites

Climate: physical and transition

Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.

CO₂ emissions per person
0.2 t CO₂e 2024
Greenhouse gas emissions
57.3 Mt CO₂e 2024
People below 5 m elevation
0% 2015
10 admitted · 7 under legal review · 24 not in the register
Partly admitted39 indicators · 10 composites

Conflict, governance and security

Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.

Intentional homicides
9 2023
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 14 not in the register
Partly admitted27 indicators · 10 composites

Frontier technology and innovation

Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.

Research and development spending
0.44% 2023
Researchers in R&D
81 2023
High-technology exports
1.9% 2024
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 26 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Coping capacity and disaster finance

Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.

Social protection coverage
0.7% 2016
9 admitted · 1 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted46 indicators · 11 composites

Society, demography and mobility

Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.

Население
51.4 million 2025
Urban population
31.9% 2025
Poverty at $3.00 a day
54.4% 2023
11 admitted · 1 under legal review · 12 not in the register
04Quote

Uganda composite risk

Value, change since the previous edition, 90% interval and class probability; the history and the published indicators follow.

NXS-GRX-UGA · CRI · Eastern Africa · 0–10 scale
Uganda composite risk
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Метод
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Uganda composite risk, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.

“Uganda: published indicators” is not connected: the Foundry connection it needs is switched off on this network.

05Profile

Four pillars, composite and coupled composite

The composite is shown only with its four pillars and twenty domain indices beside it; each value carries a 90% interval and a class with its probability.

ИнструментЗначениеИзменениеИзменение, %Интервал 90%Класс · вероятностьТенденцияДиапазон
NXS-GRX Сводный рискNXS-GRX-UGA · CRI–––––
NXS-GRX Риск с учётом взаимосвязейNXS-GRX-UGA · CPL–––––
Подверженность опасностям и угрозамNXS-GRX-UGA · HTE–––––
Уязвимость людей и системNXS-GRX-UGA · VUL–––––
Макрофинансовая и структурная хрупкостьNXS-GRX-UGA · MSF–––––
Недостаточный потенциал реагирования и адаптацииNXS-GRX-UGA · LCC–––––
Очень низкийот 0.0 до < 2.0
Низкийот 2.0 до < 3.5
Среднийот 3.5 до < 5.0
Высокийот 5.0 до < 6.5
Очень высокийот 6.5 до 10.0
07Взаимосвязи

How Uganda is coupled to the world

Not yet estimated. Coupling strengths through trade and inputs, finance and debt, energy, food trade, infrastructure and information are ◆ ESTIMATED per edition with their method and references; the coupled composite is reported beside the standalone one.
08Инструменты

Pulse, outlook, pathways, tail and perception

Pulse signals and outlook probabilities are information for review, never warnings; official warnings for Uganda come only from its mandated authorities.

Еженедельный текущий прогноз, между выпусками по событиям

Pulse

Что изменилось с последнего структурного среза? НАБЛЮДАЕМОВЫВЕДЕНО.

Метод
Ежемесячно, горизонты 1, 3, 12 и 36 месяцев

Прогноз

Насколько вероятны определённые неблагоприятные исходы на заданном горизонте? ПРОГНОЗ.

Метод
Каждый годовой выпуск

Пути

Как меняется риск при альтернативных вариантах будущего до 2030, 2050 и 2100 годов? СЦЕНАРИЙСИМУЛИРОВАНО.

Метод
Каждый годовой выпуск, с обновлением по событиям

Хвост

Как выглядит редкий, тяжёлый край распределения? СИМУЛИРОВАНОСМОДЕЛИРОВАНО.

Метод
Каждый годовой выпуск, ежеквартальное обновление сети

Взаимосвязи

Как риск распространяется через системы и границы? ОЦЕНЕНОСИМУЛИРОВАНО.

Метод
Ежегодные волны опросов экспертов и общественности

Восприятие

Где воспринимаемый риск отличается от измеренного? ЭКСПЕРТНЫЕ ДАННЫЕСООБЩЕНО.

Метод

Explore Uganda

Indices, hazards, the map and the data behind every value.

Page GRX-UGA · UNI NXS-GRX-AR-UGA-000001