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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index solutions · Open commons

Civil society and NGOs

Target programmes with open profiles and contribute local evidence.

Follow a run All solutions
Page GRX-SOL-CIVILEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
on: correction submitted · Submit a correction10 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Correction received instant
  2. Acknowledged 2 days
  3. Triage 5 days
  4. Evidence check 5 days
  5. Recompute dependent values 1 day
  6. What changed and why 1 hour
  7. Steward review 10 days
  8. Correction log entry 1 day
  9. Propagate to profiles, tiles and API 1 hour
  10. Reply to you 1 day

01Need

What this solution does

Target programmes with open profiles and contribute local evidence.

Target programmes

Use open profiles

Contribute local evidence

02Featured run

Submit a correction

A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result.

on: correction submitted

Submit a correction

In progressTriggered by You10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Intake
02Intake
03Verify
04Recompute
05Recompute
06సమీక్ష
07Publish
08Publish

100%
Timeline
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 dTarget
Correction receivedYouinstant
AcknowledgedSecretariat2 d
TriageIndex editors5 d
Evidence checkData stewards5 d
Recompute dependent valuesNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run service1 d
What changed and whyNXS-GRX run service1 h
Steward reviewStewards10 d
Correction log entrySecretariat1 d
Propagate to profiles, tiles and APIFoundry1 h
Reply to youSecretariat1 d

End to end on the longest path: about 20 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Correction received

    Intake · You · instant
    Page ID and value captured · Evidence and source attached · Contact for the reply
    NXS-GRX gateway
  2. Acknowledged

    Intake · Secretariat · 2 days
    Receipt sent · Request logged in the ledger
    NXS-GRX gatewayPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  3. Triage

    Verify · Index editors · 5 days
    Scope: value, definition or method · Affected definitions resolved · Priority set
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)indicator standard
  4. Evidence check

    Verify · Data stewards · 5 days
    Source release verified · Licence admits the use · Lineage traced to the value
    Licence registerProvenance (W3C PROV)
  5. Recompute dependent values matrix · every dependent value

    Recompute · NXS-GRX run service · 1 day
    Dependency graph walked · Values recomputed with 1,000 draws · Intervals and classes updated
    NXS-GRX run serviceTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
  6. What changed and why

    Recompute · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Before and after per value · Driver decomposition
    NXS-GRX run serviceProvenance (W3C PROV)
  7. Steward review approval

    Review · Stewards · 10 days
    Method and evidence reviewed · Disposition recorded
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  8. Correction log entry

    Publish · Secretariat · 1 day
    Public log entry · Record version bumped
    Correction logNS-1 UNI catalogue
  9. Propagate to profiles, tiles and API

    Publish · Foundry · 1 hour
    Profiles republished · Tiles invalidated · API caches refreshed
    Public cut APIVector tilesAttribution service
  10. Reply to you

    Publish · Secretariat · 1 day
    Outcome and effect on each value
    NXS-GRX gateway
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Stage
Request record GRX-REQ-… Correction received You Intake
Acknowledgement Acknowledged Secretariat Intake
Triage note Triage Index editors Verify
Evidence record Evidence check Data stewards Verify
Run record with seed and digest Recompute dependent values NXS-GRX run service Recompute
Change report What changed and why NXS-GRX run service Recompute
Disposition Steward review Stewards సమీక్ష
Correction GRX-COR-… Correction log entry Secretariat Publish
Release note Propagate to profiles, tiles and API Foundry Publish
Reply Reply to you Secretariat Publish
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03Journeys

Every journey in this solution

NXS-GRX · Govern

Submit a correction

A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Offer a dataset

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Request a scenario pack

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

04Products

Products and services

OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources. OPENSpecialised index seriesGlobal, sector, strategic-system, technology, thematic and regional series, each with its own method record, indicator set and edition. PROGTraining and capacity buildingCourses and labs with the Risk Academy on composite indicators, uncertainty, forecasting verification and risk communication.
05Series

Series most read

GS-01Global WaterAccess, scarcity, quality, floods and droughts, groundwater depletion, transboundary dependency and the couplings of water to energy, food, health and nature. GS-03Global Food and agrifoodAcute and chronic food insecurity, production shocks, import dependency, prices, fertiliser and logistics chokepoints, nutrition and pollination dependency. GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access. GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses. GS-08Global DisasterMulti-hazard exposure, disaster losses and mortality, return-period losses, protection gaps and coping capacity. GS-11Global BiodiversityEnvironmental pressure, ecosystem condition, nature dependency of economies and the nature–climate–water–food feedbacks. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. SR-02Conflict, fragility and human securityConflict risk and escalation, fragility, organised violence, civilian harm and the conflict–climate–food–displacement nexus. SR-06Displacement and demographic changeForced displacement, migration pressure, ageing, youth bulges and urbanisation as risk multipliers.

Start free

The open commons is free to read, cite, build on and reproduce.

Start free

స్థితి

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Pulse signals and outlook probabilities are information for review by competent authorities, never public warnings; official warnings come only from mandated authorities.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.