Geopolitics, conflict and human security
Methods for geopolitical, human-security on the Python and Julia compute planes.
21 capabilities
5 of 21 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| முறை | Capability ID | நிலை | Runs on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interstate Conflict Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.interstate.conflict.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Civil Conflict Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.civil.conflict.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · conflict.intensity_classification |
| Political Violence Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.political.violence.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · conflict.event_rate_anomaly |
| Displacement Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.displacement.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Humanitarian Access Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.humanitarian.access.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Geopolitical Sanctions Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.geopolitical.sanctions.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Geoeconomic Fragmentation | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.geoeconomic.fragmentation.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Political Instability | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.political.instability.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Governance Stress | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.governance.stress.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Transboundary Resource Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.transboundary.resource.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Migration Pressure | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.migration.pressure.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Food Conflict Nexus | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.food.conflict.nexus.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Climate Conflict Support | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.climate.conflict.support.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Energy Geopolitics | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.energy.geopolitics.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Critical Mineral Geopolitics | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.critical.mineral.geopolitics.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Maritime Chokepoint | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.maritime.chokepoint.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Geopolitical Supply Chain | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.geopolitical.supply.chain.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Information Environment Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.information.environment.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| INFORM Method Risk | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.inform.method.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · index.inform_method_risk |
| Composite Risk Index | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.composite.risk.index.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · index.inform_method_composite |
| Conflict Exposure | risk.capability.geopolitical-conflict-human-security.conflict.exposure.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · conflict.exposure_h3 |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- scenario ensemble, network science, time series, Bayesian inference
- Domains
- geopolitical, human-security
- Compute planes
- Python, Julia
- Source classes
- institutional, event, trade, humanitarian, resource
- Spatial supports
- country, region, route
- Temporal supports
- event, daily, scenario
Propose a method
New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.
நிலை
The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.
What NXS-GRX is not
NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.
Institutions and sources
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.